Recent benchmark updates on platforms like MathArena and MATH-500 show OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.8/Fable 5 models trading top math reasoning scores, with both labs demonstrating strong performance on AIME 2025, FrontierMath, and competition problems through advanced reasoning techniques. This tight contest, reflected in near-even market-implied odds around 39-41%, stems from OpenAI's documented progress on open mathematical problems and Anthropic's consistent edge in certain hybrid reasoning evaluations. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Z.ai post competitive open-weight results but trail on proprietary frontier metrics. Upcoming model iterations or new contest releases before October could shift the second-place ranking among these leaders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 42%
OpenAI 39%
Google 8%
アリババ 5%
$49,877 Vol.
$49,877 Vol.

Anthropic
42%

OpenAI
39%

8%

アリババ
5%

Baidu
2%

ムーンショット
1%

Z.ai
1%

DeepSeek
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Meta
1%

Xiaomi
1%

美団
1%

バイトダンス
1%

StepFun
<1%

Amazon
<1%

テンセント
<1%

マイクロソフト
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 42%
OpenAI 39%
Google 8%
アリババ 5%
$49,877 Vol.
$49,877 Vol.

Anthropic
42%

OpenAI
39%

8%

アリババ
5%

Baidu
2%

ムーンショット
1%

Z.ai
1%

DeepSeek
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Meta
1%

Xiaomi
1%

美団
1%

バイトダンス
1%

StepFun
<1%

Amazon
<1%

テンセント
<1%

マイクロソフト
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Mistral
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent benchmark updates on platforms like MathArena and MATH-500 show OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.8/Fable 5 models trading top math reasoning scores, with both labs demonstrating strong performance on AIME 2025, FrontierMath, and competition problems through advanced reasoning techniques. This tight contest, reflected in near-even market-implied odds around 39-41%, stems from OpenAI's documented progress on open mathematical problems and Anthropic's consistent edge in certain hybrid reasoning evaluations. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Z.ai post competitive open-weight results but trail on proprietary frontier metrics. Upcoming model iterations or new contest releases before October could shift the second-place ranking among these leaders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問