Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds a dominant position in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from late August and early September showing him at 35-44% in first-round scenarios against Douglas Ruas (PL) at 19-28% and Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) trailing further behind. His advantages stem from high name recognition as former mayor, a wide coalition spanning multiple parties, and stronger voter ratings on issues such as tourism, security, and public management compared to rivals. With the October 4 election approaching, the fragmented opposition and Paes's margin in runoff simulations limit realistic paths for challengers unless major shifts occur in turnout or last-minute alliances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エドゥアルド・パエス 92.0%
ダグラス・ルアス 7.6%
ラファ・ルス <1%
ブスネロ大佐 <1%
$454,645 Vol.
$454,645 Vol.
2026/10/04
エドゥアルド・パエス
92%
ダグラス・ルアス
8%
ラファ・ルス
1%
ブスネロ大佐
<1%
フェリペ・クリ
<1%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ
<1%
タルシージオ・モッタ
<1%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ
<1%
ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
<1%
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
<1%
アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
<1%
リンドバーグ・ファリアス
<1%
フレッド・パシェコ
<1%
アンドレ・セシリアーノ
<1%
ルイジーニョ博士
<1%
シコ・マシャード
<1%
エドゥアルド・パエス 92.0%
ダグラス・ルアス 7.6%
ラファ・ルス <1%
ブスネロ大佐 <1%
$454,645 Vol.
$454,645 Vol.
2026/10/04
エドゥアルド・パエス
$71,487 Vol.
92%
ダグラス・ルアス
$28,454 Vol.
8%
ラファ・ルス
$17,280 Vol.
1%
ブスネロ大佐
$18,770 Vol.
<1%
フェリペ・クリ
$27,020 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ
$3,826 Vol.
<1%
タルシージオ・モッタ
$17,339 Vol.
<1%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ
$29,367 Vol.
<1%
ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
$5,387 Vol.
<1%
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
$19,853 Vol.
<1%
アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
$3,688 Vol.
<1%
リンドバーグ・ファリアス
$15,600 Vol.
<1%
フレッド・パシェコ
$142,002 Vol.
<1%
アンドレ・セシリアーノ
$19,911 Vol.
<1%
ルイジーニョ博士
$18,566 Vol.
<1%
シコ・マシャード
$16,095 Vol.
<1%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds a dominant position in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from late August and early September showing him at 35-44% in first-round scenarios against Douglas Ruas (PL) at 19-28% and Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) trailing further behind. His advantages stem from high name recognition as former mayor, a wide coalition spanning multiple parties, and stronger voter ratings on issues such as tourism, security, and public management compared to rivals. With the October 4 election approaching, the fragmented opposition and Paes's margin in runoff simulations limit realistic paths for challengers unless major shifts occur in turnout or last-minute alliances.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
音量
$454,645終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds a dominant position in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from late August and early September showing him at 35-44% in first-round scenarios against Douglas Ruas (PL) at 19-28% and Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) trailing further behind. His advantages stem from high name recognition as former mayor, a wide coalition spanning multiple parties, and stronger voter ratings on issues such as tourism, security, and public management compared to rivals. With the October 4 election approaching, the fragmented opposition and Paes's margin in runoff simulations limit realistic paths for challengers unless major shifts occur in turnout or last-minute alliances.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$454,645終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds a dominant position in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from late August and early September showing him at 35-44% in first-round scenarios against Douglas Ruas (PL) at 19-28% and Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) trailing further behind. His advantages stem from high name recognition as former mayor, a wide coalition spanning multiple parties, and stronger voter ratings on issues such as tourism, security, and public management compared to rivals. With the October 4 election approaching, the fragmented opposition and Paes's margin in runoff simulations limit realistic paths for challengers unless major shifts occur in turnout or last-minute alliances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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