Lula holds the strongest position in Amazonas trader consensus for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting consistent polling leads or technical ties driven by his advantage in the state's interior municipalities, which represent nearly half the electorate. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel show him at 38-40% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-41%, with other names such as Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury trailing far behind in single digits. Lula's earlier visits to the region and local economic developments have reinforced his support base, while Bolsonaro family dynamics and scattered minor candidacies have not shifted the two-candidate concentration. The narrow margins in late-August and early-September fieldwork keep the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any final-week developments before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ルーラ 65%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 34%
クラリアナ・バラオ <1%
エドミルソン・コスタ <1%
$24,071 Vol.
$24,071 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルーラ
65%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
34%
クラリアナ・バラオ
<1%
エドミルソン・コスタ
<1%
作家アウグスト・クリー
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
<1%
パブロ・マルシャウ
<1%
レナン・サントス
<1%
ロナルド・カイアド
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
<1%
サマラ
<1%
ウィルソン・グラッシ獣医師
<1%
ゼマ
<1%
ルーラ 65%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 34%
クラリアナ・バラオ <1%
エドミルソン・コスタ <1%
$24,071 Vol.
$24,071 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルーラ
$7,404 Vol.
65%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$8,113 Vol.
34%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$823 Vol.
<1%
エドミルソン・コスタ
$729 Vol.
<1%
作家アウグスト・クリー
$571 Vol.
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$747 Vol.
<1%
パブロ・マルシャウ
$836 Vol.
<1%
レナン・サントス
$1,149 Vol.
<1%
ロナルド・カイアド
$751 Vol.
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$855 Vol.
<1%
サマラ
$542 Vol.
<1%
ウィルソン・グラッシ獣医師
$908 Vol.
<1%
ゼマ
$641 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position in Amazonas trader consensus for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting consistent polling leads or technical ties driven by his advantage in the state's interior municipalities, which represent nearly half the electorate. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel show him at 38-40% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-41%, with other names such as Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury trailing far behind in single digits. Lula's earlier visits to the region and local economic developments have reinforced his support base, while Bolsonaro family dynamics and scattered minor candidacies have not shifted the two-candidate concentration. The narrow margins in late-August and early-September fieldwork keep the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any final-week developments before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
音量
$24,071終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position in Amazonas trader consensus for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting consistent polling leads or technical ties driven by his advantage in the state's interior municipalities, which represent nearly half the electorate. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel show him at 38-40% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-41%, with other names such as Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury trailing far behind in single digits. Lula's earlier visits to the region and local economic developments have reinforced his support base, while Bolsonaro family dynamics and scattered minor candidacies have not shifted the two-candidate concentration. The narrow margins in late-August and early-September fieldwork keep the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any final-week developments before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$24,071終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds the strongest position in Amazonas trader consensus for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting consistent polling leads or technical ties driven by his advantage in the state's interior municipalities, which represent nearly half the electorate. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel show him at 38-40% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-41%, with other names such as Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury trailing far behind in single digits. Lula's earlier visits to the region and local economic developments have reinforced his support base, while Bolsonaro family dynamics and scattered minor candidacies have not shifted the two-candidate concentration. The narrow margins in late-August and early-September fieldwork keep the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any final-week developments before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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