Russian President Vladimir Putin, reelected in March 2024, holds office under constitutional arrangements that permit him to serve until 2030, with the next presidential election scheduled for that year. Trader assessments of an early exit reflect the absence of confirmed health issues, elite defections, or institutional moves that would force a transition, despite ongoing pressures from the Ukraine conflict, modest declines in state polling approval to around 67 percent in mid-2026, and public speculation about succession figures such as Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin. Historical patterns show most Russian leaders remain in power until death or natural causes, while recent elite reshuffles have reinforced rather than challenged the existing structure. Scheduled events within typical resolution windows include routine State Council or Security Council meetings, but no formal votes or constitutional deadlines currently constrain the timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,871,877 Vol.
2026年9月30日
1%
2026年12月31日
7%
2027年6月30日
15%
$22,871,877 Vol.
2026年9月30日
1%
2026年12月31日
7%
2027年6月30日
15%
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Russian President Vladimir Putin, reelected in March 2024, holds office under constitutional arrangements that permit him to serve until 2030, with the next presidential election scheduled for that year. Trader assessments of an early exit reflect the absence of confirmed health issues, elite defections, or institutional moves that would force a transition, despite ongoing pressures from the Ukraine conflict, modest declines in state polling approval to around 67 percent in mid-2026, and public speculation about succession figures such as Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin. Historical patterns show most Russian leaders remain in power until death or natural causes, while recent elite reshuffles have reinforced rather than challenged the existing structure. Scheduled events within typical resolution windows include routine State Council or Security Council meetings, but no formal votes or constitutional deadlines currently constrain the timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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