Democrat Janelle Stelson holds an 78.5% implied probability in the PA-10 House race against incumbent Republican Scott Perry, reflecting her status as the clear frontrunner in this toss-up district. Stelson won the May 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general election with a substantial cash-on-hand advantage after raising over $6 million, outpacing Perry's totals in one of Pennsylvania's most expensive congressional contests. Multiple forecasters rate the seat competitive, with early polling showing Stelson ahead and traders viewing her background as a former local news anchor as an asset in a swing district. Perry advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces headwinds as a targeted incumbent in a race where Democratic fundraising and positioning have shifted sentiment since the primaries concluded. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could influence the final margin before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
79%
共和党
21%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,008 Vol.
79%
共和党
$2,306 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Janelle Stelson holds an 78.5% implied probability in the PA-10 House race against incumbent Republican Scott Perry, reflecting her status as the clear frontrunner in this toss-up district. Stelson won the May 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general election with a substantial cash-on-hand advantage after raising over $6 million, outpacing Perry's totals in one of Pennsylvania's most expensive congressional contests. Multiple forecasters rate the seat competitive, with early polling showing Stelson ahead and traders viewing her background as a former local news anchor as an asset in a swing district. Perry advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces headwinds as a targeted incumbent in a race where Democratic fundraising and positioning have shifted sentiment since the primaries concluded. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could influence the final margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
音量
$5,314終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Janelle Stelson holds an 78.5% implied probability in the PA-10 House race against incumbent Republican Scott Perry, reflecting her status as the clear frontrunner in this toss-up district. Stelson won the May 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general election with a substantial cash-on-hand advantage after raising over $6 million, outpacing Perry's totals in one of Pennsylvania's most expensive congressional contests. Multiple forecasters rate the seat competitive, with early polling showing Stelson ahead and traders viewing her background as a former local news anchor as an asset in a swing district. Perry advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces headwinds as a targeted incumbent in a race where Democratic fundraising and positioning have shifted sentiment since the primaries concluded. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could influence the final margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,314終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Janelle Stelson holds an 78.5% implied probability in the PA-10 House race against incumbent Republican Scott Perry, reflecting her status as the clear frontrunner in this toss-up district. Stelson won the May 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general election with a substantial cash-on-hand advantage after raising over $6 million, outpacing Perry's totals in one of Pennsylvania's most expensive congressional contests. Multiple forecasters rate the seat competitive, with early polling showing Stelson ahead and traders viewing her background as a former local news anchor as an asset in a swing district. Perry advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces headwinds as a targeted incumbent in a race where Democratic fundraising and positioning have shifted sentiment since the primaries concluded. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could influence the final margin before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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