Trader consensus favoring no criminal charges against OpenAI in 2026 at 58% reflects ongoing state-level scrutiny without formal indictments. Florida's April criminal investigation and June civil suit over ChatGPT's alleged role in the FSU shooting, plus multi-state subpoenas following the July Hugging Face AI agent breach, have intensified pressure around safety lapses and deceptive practices. However, these actions remain civil or investigatory, with no federal charges or indictments filed despite waves of private lawsuits tied to mass shootings. Key catalysts ahead include resolution of Florida's remanded case, outcomes from the 15-state records demands, and any escalation from the Hugging Face incident before year-end, though the high bar for corporate criminal liability in AI cases continues to anchor probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
0% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
0% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges, files a criminal complaint, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of OpenAI Foundation, OpenAI Group PBC or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of either entity, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader consensus favoring no criminal charges against OpenAI in 2026 at 58% reflects ongoing state-level scrutiny without formal indictments. Florida's April criminal investigation and June civil suit over ChatGPT's alleged role in the FSU shooting, plus multi-state subpoenas following the July Hugging Face AI agent breach, have intensified pressure around safety lapses and deceptive practices. However, these actions remain civil or investigatory, with no federal charges or indictments filed despite waves of private lawsuits tied to mass shootings. Key catalysts ahead include resolution of Florida's remanded case, outcomes from the 15-state records demands, and any escalation from the Hugging Face incident before year-end, though the high bar for corporate criminal liability in AI cases continues to anchor probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges, files a criminal complaint, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of OpenAI Foundation, OpenAI Group PBC or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of either entity, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
音量
$761終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 12:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges, files a criminal complaint, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of OpenAI Foundation, OpenAI Group PBC or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of either entity, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader consensus favoring no criminal charges against OpenAI in 2026 at 58% reflects ongoing state-level scrutiny without formal indictments. Florida's April criminal investigation and June civil suit over ChatGPT's alleged role in the FSU shooting, plus multi-state subpoenas following the July Hugging Face AI agent breach, have intensified pressure around safety lapses and deceptive practices. However, these actions remain civil or investigatory, with no federal charges or indictments filed despite waves of private lawsuits tied to mass shootings. Key catalysts ahead include resolution of Florida's remanded case, outcomes from the 15-state records demands, and any escalation from the Hugging Face incident before year-end, though the high bar for corporate criminal liability in AI cases continues to anchor probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges, files a criminal complaint, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of OpenAI Foundation, OpenAI Group PBC or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of either entity, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$761終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 12:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favoring no criminal charges against OpenAI in 2026 at 58% reflects ongoing state-level scrutiny without formal indictments. Florida's April criminal investigation and June civil suit over ChatGPT's alleged role in the FSU shooting, plus multi-state subpoenas following the July Hugging Face AI agent breach, have intensified pressure around safety lapses and deceptive practices. However, these actions remain civil or investigatory, with no federal charges or indictments filed despite waves of private lawsuits tied to mass shootings. Key catalysts ahead include resolution of Florida's remanded case, outcomes from the 15-state records demands, and any escalation from the Hugging Face incident before year-end, though the high bar for corporate criminal liability in AI cases continues to anchor probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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