OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an internal model, coordinating roughly 10,000 AI agents, produced a Lean-formalized solution to the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This marks the first AI-driven resolution of a Millennium Prize Problem and follows a string of 2026 advances, including counterexamples to long-standing Erdős conjectures, improved bounds on the Riemann zeta function, and strong performance on FrontierMath Tier 4 and IMO-ProofBench. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude variants and Google DeepMind models, combined with rapid iteration on agent harnesses and inference scaling, keeps the field moving quickly. Traders are watching upcoming model releases, Epoch AI benchmark updates, and any further official claims on remaining Millennium problems for signals that could shift probabilities on specific outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
バーチ・スウィンナートン＝ダイアー
62%
ホッジ予想
57%
ルジャンドル予想
50%
ヤン＝ミルズ
50%
コラッツ予想
50%
強いゴルドバッハ予想
50%
双子素数予想
50%
奇数完全数
50%
ハドウィガー＝ネルソン問題
50%
アダマール行列予想
50%
ビール予想
50%
ラムゼー数R(5,5)
50%
リーマン予想
49%
P対NP
34%
$393 Vol.
バーチ・スウィンナートン＝ダイアー
$0 Vol.
62%
ホッジ予想
$315 Vol.
57%
ルジャンドル予想
$0 Vol.
50%
ヤン＝ミルズ
$0 Vol.
50%
コラッツ予想
$0 Vol.
50%
強いゴルドバッハ予想
$0 Vol.
50%
双子素数予想
$0 Vol.
50%
奇数完全数
$0 Vol.
50%
ハドウィガー＝ネルソン問題
$0 Vol.
50%
アダマール行列予想
$0 Vol.
50%
ビール予想
$0 Vol.
50%
ラムゼー数R(5,5)
$0 Vol.
50%
リーマン予想
$0 Vol.
49%
P対NP
$78 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an internal model, coordinating roughly 10,000 AI agents, produced a Lean-formalized solution to the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This marks the first AI-driven resolution of a Millennium Prize Problem and follows a string of 2026 advances, including counterexamples to long-standing Erdős conjectures, improved bounds on the Riemann zeta function, and strong performance on FrontierMath Tier 4 and IMO-ProofBench. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude variants and Google DeepMind models, combined with rapid iteration on agent harnesses and inference scaling, keeps the field moving quickly. Traders are watching upcoming model releases, Epoch AI benchmark updates, and any further official claims on remaining Millennium problems for signals that could shift probabilities on specific outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
音量
$393終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an internal model, coordinating roughly 10,000 AI agents, produced a Lean-formalized solution to the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This marks the first AI-driven resolution of a Millennium Prize Problem and follows a string of 2026 advances, including counterexamples to long-standing Erdős conjectures, improved bounds on the Riemann zeta function, and strong performance on FrontierMath Tier 4 and IMO-ProofBench. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude variants and Google DeepMind models, combined with rapid iteration on agent harnesses and inference scaling, keeps the field moving quickly. Traders are watching upcoming model releases, Epoch AI benchmark updates, and any further official claims on remaining Millennium problems for signals that could shift probabilities on specific outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$393終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an internal model, coordinating roughly 10,000 AI agents, produced a Lean-formalized solution to the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This marks the first AI-driven resolution of a Millennium Prize Problem and follows a string of 2026 advances, including counterexamples to long-standing Erdős conjectures, improved bounds on the Riemann zeta function, and strong performance on FrontierMath Tier 4 and IMO-ProofBench. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude variants and Google DeepMind models, combined with rapid iteration on agent harnesses and inference scaling, keeps the field moving quickly. Traders are watching upcoming model releases, Epoch AI benchmark updates, and any further official claims on remaining Millennium problems for signals that could shift probabilities on specific outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問