Alphabet's commanding lead in current market capitalization—roughly $4.12 trillion versus Microsoft's $3.64 trillion and lower figures for Amazon, Broadcom, and others—underpins the 94% implied probability it finishes September as the third-largest company. Sustained AI-driven revenue growth, stable search and cloud performance, and minimal volatility in the final two weeks reinforce trader consensus that the ranking holds. A rapid Microsoft surge from major enterprise wins or a sharp Alphabet decline tied to regulatory setbacks or ad slowdowns represent the main realistic risks, though both appear improbable given recent trading patterns and the short timeframe to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alphabet 94%
Microsoft 4.2%
Apple 1.6%
NVIDIA <1%
$184,365 Vol.
$184,365 Vol.
2026/09/30
Alphabet
94%
Microsoft
4%
Apple
2%
NVIDIA
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Broadcom
<1%
スペースX
<1%
Alphabet 94%
Microsoft 4.2%
Apple 1.6%
NVIDIA <1%
$184,365 Vol.
$184,365 Vol.
2026/09/30
Alphabet
$42,714 Vol.
94%
Microsoft
$71,354 Vol.
4%
Apple
$22,316 Vol.
2%
NVIDIA
$18,793 Vol.
<1%
Tesla
$2,209 Vol.
<1%
Saudi Aramco
$1,266 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$5,655 Vol.
<1%
Broadcom
$3,323 Vol.
<1%
スペースX
$16,736 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alphabet's commanding lead in current market capitalization—roughly $4.12 trillion versus Microsoft's $3.64 trillion and lower figures for Amazon, Broadcom, and others—underpins the 94% implied probability it finishes September as the third-largest company. Sustained AI-driven revenue growth, stable search and cloud performance, and minimal volatility in the final two weeks reinforce trader consensus that the ranking holds. A rapid Microsoft surge from major enterprise wins or a sharp Alphabet decline tied to regulatory setbacks or ad slowdowns represent the main realistic risks, though both appear improbable given recent trading patterns and the short timeframe to resolution.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
音量
$184,365終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 7:00 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alphabet's commanding lead in current market capitalization—roughly $4.12 trillion versus Microsoft's $3.64 trillion and lower figures for Amazon, Broadcom, and others—underpins the 94% implied probability it finishes September as the third-largest company. Sustained AI-driven revenue growth, stable search and cloud performance, and minimal volatility in the final two weeks reinforce trader consensus that the ranking holds. A rapid Microsoft surge from major enterprise wins or a sharp Alphabet decline tied to regulatory setbacks or ad slowdowns represent the main realistic risks, though both appear improbable given recent trading patterns and the short timeframe to resolution.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$184,365終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 7:00 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet's commanding lead in current market capitalization—roughly $4.12 trillion versus Microsoft's $3.64 trillion and lower figures for Amazon, Broadcom, and others—underpins the 94% implied probability it finishes September as the third-largest company. Sustained AI-driven revenue growth, stable search and cloud performance, and minimal volatility in the final two weeks reinforce trader consensus that the ranking holds. A rapid Microsoft surge from major enterprise wins or a sharp Alphabet decline tied to regulatory setbacks or ad slowdowns represent the main realistic risks, though both appear improbable given recent trading patterns and the short timeframe to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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