The Ontario Liberal leadership contest remains tightly contested heading into the November 21 vote because multiple candidates are actively building membership support ahead of the September 7 cutoff, with no single contender yet demonstrating decisive organizational dominance. Navdeep Bains holds a modest edge in fundraising and name recognition from his federal cabinet experience, yet late entrants like Stephanie Bowman have quickly narrowed gaps through rapid donor momentum. Lee Fairclough, Eric Lombardi, and Dylan Marando continue pressing on provincial issues such as housing and the economy. Upcoming debates, endorsement waves, and final membership tallies could shift probabilities by clarifying which candidate best consolidates party factions ahead of the preferential ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Navdeep Bains 56%
Lee Fairclough 20%
Stephanie Bowman 14%
Eric Lombardi 7%
新規
新規
2026/11/21
Navdeep Bains
56%
Lee Fairclough
20%
Stephanie Bowman
14%
Eric Lombardi
7%
Dylan Marando
3%
Navdeep Bains 56%
Lee Fairclough 20%
Stephanie Bowman 14%
Eric Lombardi 7%
新規
新規
2026/11/21
Navdeep Bains
$607 Vol.
56%
Lee Fairclough
$288 Vol.
20%
Stephanie Bowman
$120 Vol.
14%
Eric Lombardi
$129 Vol.
7%
Dylan Marando
$52 Vol.
3%
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The Ontario Liberal leadership contest remains tightly contested heading into the November 21 vote because multiple candidates are actively building membership support ahead of the September 7 cutoff, with no single contender yet demonstrating decisive organizational dominance. Navdeep Bains holds a modest edge in fundraising and name recognition from his federal cabinet experience, yet late entrants like Stephanie Bowman have quickly narrowed gaps through rapid donor momentum. Lee Fairclough, Eric Lombardi, and Dylan Marando continue pressing on provincial issues such as housing and the economy. Upcoming debates, endorsement waves, and final membership tallies could shift probabilities by clarifying which candidate best consolidates party factions ahead of the preferential ballot.
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ET
音量
$1,196終了日
2026/11/21マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The Ontario Liberal leadership contest remains tightly contested heading into the November 21 vote because multiple candidates are actively building membership support ahead of the September 7 cutoff, with no single contender yet demonstrating decisive organizational dominance. Navdeep Bains holds a modest edge in fundraising and name recognition from his federal cabinet experience, yet late entrants like Stephanie Bowman have quickly narrowed gaps through rapid donor momentum. Lee Fairclough, Eric Lombardi, and Dylan Marando continue pressing on provincial issues such as housing and the economy. Upcoming debates, endorsement waves, and final membership tallies could shift probabilities by clarifying which candidate best consolidates party factions ahead of the preferential ballot.
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
音量
$1,196終了日
2026/11/21マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Ontario Liberal leadership contest remains tightly contested heading into the November 21 vote because multiple candidates are actively building membership support ahead of the September 7 cutoff, with no single contender yet demonstrating decisive organizational dominance. Navdeep Bains holds a modest edge in fundraising and name recognition from his federal cabinet experience, yet late entrants like Stephanie Bowman have quickly narrowed gaps through rapid donor momentum. Lee Fairclough, Eric Lombardi, and Dylan Marando continue pressing on provincial issues such as housing and the economy. Upcoming debates, endorsement waves, and final membership tallies could shift probabilities by clarifying which candidate best consolidates party factions ahead of the preferential ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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