North Korea conducted three confirmed ballistic missile launch events in August 2026 through August 24: single short-range tests from Wonsan on August 6 and 12, followed by a barrage of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang area on August 20. The most recent salvo occurred shortly after U.S. President Trump ordered scaled-back Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises and publicly referenced plans to meet Kim Jong Un. These actions align with Pyongyang’s pattern of using tests to signal resolve amid diplomatic overtures and ongoing U.S.-South Korea military coordination. With only days left in the month, the market’s emphasis on fewer than four total events reflects the low historical frequency of additional launches in late August and the absence of further reported activity since the 20th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4未満 57%
4 27.0%
5 10%
6回以上 5.1%
$20,887 Vol.
$20,887 Vol.
4未満
57%
4
27%
5
10%
6回以上
5%
4未満 57%
4 27.0%
5 10%
6回以上 5.1%
$20,887 Vol.
$20,887 Vol.
4未満
57%
4
27%
5
10%
6回以上
5%
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea conducted three confirmed ballistic missile launch events in August 2026 through August 24: single short-range tests from Wonsan on August 6 and 12, followed by a barrage of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang area on August 20. The most recent salvo occurred shortly after U.S. President Trump ordered scaled-back Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises and publicly referenced plans to meet Kim Jong Un. These actions align with Pyongyang’s pattern of using tests to signal resolve amid diplomatic overtures and ongoing U.S.-South Korea military coordination. With only days left in the month, the market’s emphasis on fewer than four total events reflects the low historical frequency of additional launches in late August and the absence of further reported activity since the 20th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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