North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1 31%
2 22%
1未満 18%
3 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/30
1未満
18%
1
31%
2
22%
3
16%
4回以上
13%
1 31%
2 22%
1未満 18%
3 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/30
1未満
$321 Vol.
18%
1
$91 Vol.
31%
2
$112 Vol.
22%
3
$91 Vol.
16%
4回以上
$422 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
音量
$1,037終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
音量
$1,037終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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