Massachusetts remains a reliably Democratic state in Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Ed Markey holds the Class II seat and faces a September 1 primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, but polls through mid-2026 show Markey maintaining a lead of roughly 10 points among likely Democratic primary voters. Any Democratic nominee is expected to prevail in the November general election against the limited Republican field. High trader consensus on a Democratic outcome reflects the state's partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and the structural barriers facing Republican candidates in this environment. An upset would require either an unprecedented Republican general-election surge or a primary result that somehow alters the broader dynamics, both of which lack recent precedent in Massachusetts Senate races.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$18,799 Vol.
97%
共和党
$5,426 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts remains a reliably Democratic state in Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Ed Markey holds the Class II seat and faces a September 1 primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, but polls through mid-2026 show Markey maintaining a lead of roughly 10 points among likely Democratic primary voters. Any Democratic nominee is expected to prevail in the November general election against the limited Republican field. High trader consensus on a Democratic outcome reflects the state's partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and the structural barriers facing Republican candidates in this environment. An upset would require either an unprecedented Republican general-election surge or a primary result that somehow alters the broader dynamics, both of which lack recent precedent in Massachusetts Senate races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$24,225終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts remains a reliably Democratic state in Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Ed Markey holds the Class II seat and faces a September 1 primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, but polls through mid-2026 show Markey maintaining a lead of roughly 10 points among likely Democratic primary voters. Any Democratic nominee is expected to prevail in the November general election against the limited Republican field. High trader consensus on a Democratic outcome reflects the state's partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and the structural barriers facing Republican candidates in this environment. An upset would require either an unprecedented Republican general-election surge or a primary result that somehow alters the broader dynamics, both of which lack recent precedent in Massachusetts Senate races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$24,225終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts remains a reliably Democratic state in Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Ed Markey holds the Class II seat and faces a September 1 primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, but polls through mid-2026 show Markey maintaining a lead of roughly 10 points among likely Democratic primary voters. Any Democratic nominee is expected to prevail in the November general election against the limited Republican field. High trader consensus on a Democratic outcome reflects the state's partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and the structural barriers facing Republican candidates in this environment. An upset would require either an unprecedented Republican general-election surge or a primary result that somehow alters the broader dynamics, both of which lack recent precedent in Massachusetts Senate races.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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