Both the Ohio U.S. Senate special election and gubernatorial race remain toss-ups heading into November 2026, with recent Siena, AARP, and Fox News polling showing margins under 5 points between Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted in the Senate contest and between Amy Acton and Vivek Ramaswamy for governor. Primaries concluded in May with these nominees advancing, followed by heavy outside spending exceeding $120 million in the Senate race alone. Forecasters rate both contests as competitive, reflecting Ohio's recent electoral patterns and the open governor seat after term limits on the prior incumbent. This parity sustains trader pricing near even odds across Democratic or Republican sweeps and the two split outcomes, while elevating the "Other" category amid uncertainty over final turnout, late spending shifts, or minor-party impacts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Reps sweep 37%
Dems sweep 37%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 37%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 36%
Reps sweep
37%
Dems sweep
37%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
37%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
36%
Reps sweep 37%
Dems sweep 37%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 37%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 36%
Reps sweep
37%
Dems sweep
37%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
37%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
36%
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Both the Ohio U.S. Senate special election and gubernatorial race remain toss-ups heading into November 2026, with recent Siena, AARP, and Fox News polling showing margins under 5 points between Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted in the Senate contest and between Amy Acton and Vivek Ramaswamy for governor. Primaries concluded in May with these nominees advancing, followed by heavy outside spending exceeding $120 million in the Senate race alone. Forecasters rate both contests as competitive, reflecting Ohio's recent electoral patterns and the open governor seat after term limits on the prior incumbent. This parity sustains trader pricing near even odds across Democratic or Republican sweeps and the two split outcomes, while elevating the "Other" category amid uncertainty over final turnout, late spending shifts, or minor-party impacts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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