Trump’s repeated public statements favoring neutrality in the upcoming October 27 Israeli election explain the dominant 69.5% probability on No Endorsement. In August interviews, the president described staying out as “most appropriate” while leaving open a future endorsement, following earlier June remarks where he called Netanyahu “most likely” but conditioned any support on reviewing other candidates amid policy frictions over Lebanon strikes, Iran diplomacy, and Gaza. These tensions, combined with reports of opposition figures privately urging restraint, have kept Likud at 31% despite longstanding personal ties. Minor parties sit near 0.1% because no signals point to alternatives. With the campaign period now advanced and no endorsement issued, market pricing reflects the current absence of intervention rather than speculation on last-minute shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
No Endorsement 70%
Likud 31%
Yashar <1%
Together <1%
$37,197 Vol.
$37,197 Vol.
2026/10/27
No Endorsement
70%
Likud
31%
Yashar
1%
Together
1%
宗教的シオニズム
<1%
Yisrael Beiteinu
<1%
ニュー・ホープ
<1%
Shas
<1%
Otzma Yehudit
<1%
Hadash–Ta'al
<1%
Noam
<1%
UTJ
<1%
Democrats
<1%
ブルー・アンド・ホワイト
<1%
No Endorsement 70%
Likud 31%
Yashar <1%
Together <1%
$37,197 Vol.
$37,197 Vol.
2026/10/27
No Endorsement
$9,777 Vol.
70%
Likud
$16,734 Vol.
31%
Yashar
$1,912 Vol.
1%
Together
$1,787 Vol.
1%
宗教的シオニズム
$866 Vol.
<1%
Yisrael Beiteinu
$451 Vol.
<1%
ニュー・ホープ
$450 Vol.
<1%
Shas
$579 Vol.
<1%
Otzma Yehudit
$1,182 Vol.
<1%
Hadash–Ta'al
$371 Vol.
<1%
Noam
$446 Vol.
<1%
UTJ
$1,104 Vol.
<1%
Democrats
$446 Vol.
<1%
ブルー・アンド・ホワイト
$1,092 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.Trump’s repeated public statements favoring neutrality in the upcoming October 27 Israeli election explain the dominant 69.5% probability on No Endorsement. In August interviews, the president described staying out as “most appropriate” while leaving open a future endorsement, following earlier June remarks where he called Netanyahu “most likely” but conditioned any support on reviewing other candidates amid policy frictions over Lebanon strikes, Iran diplomacy, and Gaza. These tensions, combined with reports of opposition figures privately urging restraint, have kept Likud at 31% despite longstanding personal ties. Minor parties sit near 0.1% because no signals point to alternatives. With the campaign period now advanced and no endorsement issued, market pricing reflects the current absence of intervention rather than speculation on last-minute shifts.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$37,197終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.Trump’s repeated public statements favoring neutrality in the upcoming October 27 Israeli election explain the dominant 69.5% probability on No Endorsement. In August interviews, the president described staying out as “most appropriate” while leaving open a future endorsement, following earlier June remarks where he called Netanyahu “most likely” but conditioned any support on reviewing other candidates amid policy frictions over Lebanon strikes, Iran diplomacy, and Gaza. These tensions, combined with reports of opposition figures privately urging restraint, have kept Likud at 31% despite longstanding personal ties. Minor parties sit near 0.1% because no signals point to alternatives. With the campaign period now advanced and no endorsement issued, market pricing reflects the current absence of intervention rather than speculation on last-minute shifts.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
音量
$37,197終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s repeated public statements favoring neutrality in the upcoming October 27 Israeli election explain the dominant 69.5% probability on No Endorsement. In August interviews, the president described staying out as “most appropriate” while leaving open a future endorsement, following earlier June remarks where he called Netanyahu “most likely” but conditioned any support on reviewing other candidates amid policy frictions over Lebanon strikes, Iran diplomacy, and Gaza. These tensions, combined with reports of opposition figures privately urging restraint, have kept Likud at 31% despite longstanding personal ties. Minor parties sit near 0.1% because no signals point to alternatives. With the campaign period now advanced and no endorsement issued, market pricing reflects the current absence of intervention rather than speculation on last-minute shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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