Iceland’s 29 August 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations, approved by the Althing in May after the centre-left coalition placed it on the agenda, has produced a closely balanced market. Recent polling shows opinion split near 53-47 in favour of reopening talks, reflecting longstanding divisions over fisheries policy, national sovereignty, and the economic implications of aligning more closely with the EU acquis beyond the existing EEA framework. The government has campaigned for a Yes while urging Brussels to avoid direct involvement, amid broader regional security considerations. A narrow result could hinge on final turnout, late campaign messaging from major parties, or any fresh statements clarifying negotiation timelines and safeguards on sensitive sectors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
54% 確率
$23,270 Vol.
$23,270 Vol.
2026/08/29
はい
54% 確率
$23,270 Vol.
$23,270 Vol.
2026/08/29
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Iceland’s 29 August 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations, approved by the Althing in May after the centre-left coalition placed it on the agenda, has produced a closely balanced market. Recent polling shows opinion split near 53-47 in favour of reopening talks, reflecting longstanding divisions over fisheries policy, national sovereignty, and the economic implications of aligning more closely with the EU acquis beyond the existing EEA framework. The government has campaigned for a Yes while urging Brussels to avoid direct involvement, amid broader regional security considerations. A narrow result could hinge on final turnout, late campaign messaging from major parties, or any fresh statements clarifying negotiation timelines and safeguards on sensitive sectors.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
音量
$23,270終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Iceland’s 29 August 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations, approved by the Althing in May after the centre-left coalition placed it on the agenda, has produced a closely balanced market. Recent polling shows opinion split near 53-47 in favour of reopening talks, reflecting longstanding divisions over fisheries policy, national sovereignty, and the economic implications of aligning more closely with the EU acquis beyond the existing EEA framework. The government has campaigned for a Yes while urging Brussels to avoid direct involvement, amid broader regional security considerations. A narrow result could hinge on final turnout, late campaign messaging from major parties, or any fresh statements clarifying negotiation timelines and safeguards on sensitive sectors.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
音量
$23,270終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iceland’s 29 August 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations, approved by the Althing in May after the centre-left coalition placed it on the agenda, has produced a closely balanced market. Recent polling shows opinion split near 53-47 in favour of reopening talks, reflecting longstanding divisions over fisheries policy, national sovereignty, and the economic implications of aligning more closely with the EU acquis beyond the existing EEA framework. The government has campaigned for a Yes while urging Brussels to avoid direct involvement, amid broader regional security considerations. A narrow result could hinge on final turnout, late campaign messaging from major parties, or any fresh statements clarifying negotiation timelines and safeguards on sensitive sectors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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