Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 19, 2026, near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and stable high pressure around 30.05–30.07 inches Hg. These conditions support radiative cooling overnight but limit further drops, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 13°C at 44.5% and 14°C at 30%. Above-average warmth relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of about 11°C reflects the absence of cooler northerly flow or frontal passages, while historical records show September 19 minima rarely falling below 10°C without significant synoptic changes. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Météo-France continue to anchor trader consensus around these thresholds ahead of official daily resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のパリの最低気温は？
9月19日のパリの最低気温は？
14℃ 19%
11℃ 8%
12°C 6%
10℃以下 <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
10℃以下
1%
11℃
8%
12°C
6%
13℃
37%
14℃
30%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃以上
<1%
14℃ 19%
11℃ 8%
12°C 6%
10℃以下 <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
10℃以下
$107 Vol.
1%
11℃
$616 Vol.
8%
12°C
$1,272 Vol.
6%
13℃
$4,160 Vol.
37%
14℃
$578 Vol.
30%
15℃
$200 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$41 Vol.
<1%
20℃以上
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 19, 2026, near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and stable high pressure around 30.05–30.07 inches Hg. These conditions support radiative cooling overnight but limit further drops, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 13°C at 44.5% and 14°C at 30%. Above-average warmth relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of about 11°C reflects the absence of cooler northerly flow or frontal passages, while historical records show September 19 minima rarely falling below 10°C without significant synoptic changes. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Météo-France continue to anchor trader consensus around these thresholds ahead of official daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$7,148終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 19, 2026, near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and stable high pressure around 30.05–30.07 inches Hg. These conditions support radiative cooling overnight but limit further drops, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 13°C at 44.5% and 14°C at 30%. Above-average warmth relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of about 11°C reflects the absence of cooler northerly flow or frontal passages, while historical records show September 19 minima rarely falling below 10°C without significant synoptic changes. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Météo-France continue to anchor trader consensus around these thresholds ahead of official daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,148終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 19, 2026, near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and stable high pressure around 30.05–30.07 inches Hg. These conditions support radiative cooling overnight but limit further drops, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 13°C at 44.5% and 14°C at 30%. Above-average warmth relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of about 11°C reflects the absence of cooler northerly flow or frontal passages, while historical records show September 19 minima rarely falling below 10°C without significant synoptic changes. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Météo-France continue to anchor trader consensus around these thresholds ahead of official daily resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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