**US-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks have produced a June 26, 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased IDF withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon, Lebanese army deployment, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and eventual border security arrangements.** Subsequent technical rounds occurred in Rome through early August, with the next session scheduled for September. Hezbollah has rejected the framework outright, labeling it null and void and vowing continued armed resistance, while remaining outside the direct negotiations. Lebanese officials continue separate coordination with Israel on implementation metrics, but progress on expanding pilot zones and disarmament verification has been limited amid Hezbollah opposition and Lebanese institutional constraints. These dynamics keep direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic meetings improbable in the near term, as the process centers on state-to-state channels and performance-based conditions rather than engagement with the group itself.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$93,834 Vol.
2026/07/30
8月31日
1%
$93,834 Vol.
8月31日
$86,469 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.**US-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks have produced a June 26, 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased IDF withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon, Lebanese army deployment, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and eventual border security arrangements.** Subsequent technical rounds occurred in Rome through early August, with the next session scheduled for September.
Hezbollah has rejected the framework outright, labeling it null and void and vowing continued armed resistance, while remaining outside the direct negotiations. Lebanese officials continue separate coordination with Israel on implementation metrics, but progress on expanding pilot zones and disarmament verification has been limited amid Hezbollah opposition and Lebanese institutional constraints.
These dynamics keep direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic meetings improbable in the near term, as the process centers on state-to-state channels and performance-based conditions rather than engagement with the group itself.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
音量
$93,834終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.**US-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks have produced a June 26, 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased IDF withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon, Lebanese army deployment, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and eventual border security arrangements.** Subsequent technical rounds occurred in Rome through early August, with the next session scheduled for September.
Hezbollah has rejected the framework outright, labeling it null and void and vowing continued armed resistance, while remaining outside the direct negotiations. Lebanese officials continue separate coordination with Israel on implementation metrics, but progress on expanding pilot zones and disarmament verification has been limited amid Hezbollah opposition and Lebanese institutional constraints.
These dynamics keep direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic meetings improbable in the near term, as the process centers on state-to-state channels and performance-based conditions rather than engagement with the group itself.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$93,834終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks have produced a June 26, 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased IDF withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon, Lebanese army deployment, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and eventual border security arrangements.** Subsequent technical rounds occurred in Rome through early August, with the next session scheduled for September. Hezbollah has rejected the framework outright, labeling it null and void and vowing continued armed resistance, while remaining outside the direct negotiations. Lebanese officials continue separate coordination with Israel on implementation metrics, but progress on expanding pilot zones and disarmament verification has been limited amid Hezbollah opposition and Lebanese institutional constraints. These dynamics keep direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic meetings improbable in the near term, as the process centers on state-to-state channels and performance-based conditions rather than engagement with the group itself.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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