Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman with involvement from Qatar and Pakistan, center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. As of mid-August, technical talks have produced reported progress on maritime transit protocols but no finalized agreement, with the 60-day negotiating window from the memorandum having closed around August 17 without a comprehensive deal. US officials have signaled optimism about near-term de-escalation while noting incomplete outcomes, amid pauses in strikes and continued Iranian assertions of control over shipping routes. Any new round by August 31 would likely involve envoys or working groups rather than direct high-level bilateral meetings, with scheduled diplomatic contacts or mediator announcements serving as key potential catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$93,917 Vol.
2026/08/31
ニック・スチュワート
15%
ジャレッド・クシュナー
5%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
4%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Kazem Gharibabadi
4%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
4%
Pete Hegseth
3%
イシャク・ダール
3%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
3%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
マルコ・ルビオ
3%
J.D.バンス
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
ドナルド・トランプ
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
マジド・タクトラヴァンチ
<1%
$93,917 Vol.
ニック・スチュワート
$36 Vol.
15%
ジャレッド・クシュナー
$13,481 Vol.
5%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
4%
Steve Witkoff
$13,535 Vol.
4%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,690 Vol.
4%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,051 Vol.
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,630 Vol.
3%
イシャク・ダール
$2,920 Vol.
3%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$259 Vol.
3%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,040 Vol.
3%
マルコ・ルビオ
$7,606 Vol.
3%
J.D.バンス
$11,213 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$886 Vol.
2%
ドナルド・トランプ
$6,525 Vol.
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$476 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
1%
マジド・タクトラヴァンチ
$3,234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman with involvement from Qatar and Pakistan, center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. As of mid-August, technical talks have produced reported progress on maritime transit protocols but no finalized agreement, with the 60-day negotiating window from the memorandum having closed around August 17 without a comprehensive deal. US officials have signaled optimism about near-term de-escalation while noting incomplete outcomes, amid pauses in strikes and continued Iranian assertions of control over shipping routes. Any new round by August 31 would likely involve envoys or working groups rather than direct high-level bilateral meetings, with scheduled diplomatic contacts or mediator announcements serving as key potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
音量
$93,917終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman with involvement from Qatar and Pakistan, center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. As of mid-August, technical talks have produced reported progress on maritime transit protocols but no finalized agreement, with the 60-day negotiating window from the memorandum having closed around August 17 without a comprehensive deal. US officials have signaled optimism about near-term de-escalation while noting incomplete outcomes, amid pauses in strikes and continued Iranian assertions of control over shipping routes. Any new round by August 31 would likely involve envoys or working groups rather than direct high-level bilateral meetings, with scheduled diplomatic contacts or mediator announcements serving as key potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$93,917終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman with involvement from Qatar and Pakistan, center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. As of mid-August, technical talks have produced reported progress on maritime transit protocols but no finalized agreement, with the 60-day negotiating window from the memorandum having closed around August 17 without a comprehensive deal. US officials have signaled optimism about near-term de-escalation while noting incomplete outcomes, amid pauses in strikes and continued Iranian assertions of control over shipping routes. Any new round by August 31 would likely involve envoys or working groups rather than direct high-level bilateral meetings, with scheduled diplomatic contacts or mediator announcements serving as key potential catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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