Following the June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and additional attacks in early 2026, the IAEA lost physical access to the enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, halting verification activities under Iran's NPT safeguards agreement. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections will occur and that modalities are under discussion with Tehran. Iranian officials, however, have conditioned any return to the damaged sites on completion of a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no confirmed visits reported since the conflict. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at storage tunnels, particularly at Isfahan, while ongoing US-Iran talks and potential diplomatic timelines remain the main variables that could enable or delay IAEA entry to these locations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$363,800 Vol.
8月31日
1%
10月31日
6%
12月31日
13%
$363,800 Vol.
8月31日
1%
10月31日
6%
12月31日
13%
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following the June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and additional attacks in early 2026, the IAEA lost physical access to the enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, halting verification activities under Iran's NPT safeguards agreement. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections will occur and that modalities are under discussion with Tehran. Iranian officials, however, have conditioned any return to the damaged sites on completion of a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no confirmed visits reported since the conflict. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at storage tunnels, particularly at Isfahan, while ongoing US-Iran talks and potential diplomatic timelines remain the main variables that could enable or delay IAEA entry to these locations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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