Recent FOMC meetings have featured unusually elevated dissent, including four votes against the April 2026 hold decision—the highest since 1992—and two or three dissents at prior 2025–2026 gatherings, driven primarily by Governor Stephen Miran’s consistent preference for deeper rate cuts alongside opposing views from regional presidents on easing pace. These divisions reflect differing assessments of inflation persistence, labor-market slack, and the appropriate path for the federal funds rate amid a projected single cut for 2026. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.9%) on four or more dissents, underscoring trader expectations that policy fractures will persist absent clearer convergence in incoming CPI, employment, and growth data ahead of the FOMC’s next policy reviews.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか？
1月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか？
1 28%
2 23%
0 16%
3 16%
新規
新規
2027/01/27
0
16%
1
28%
2
23%
3
16%
4人以上
45%
1 28%
2 23%
0 16%
3 16%
新規
新規
2027/01/27
0
$236 Vol.
16%
1
$31 Vol.
28%
2
$56 Vol.
23%
3
$146 Vol.
16%
4人以上
$5 Vol.
45%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have featured unusually elevated dissent, including four votes against the April 2026 hold decision—the highest since 1992—and two or three dissents at prior 2025–2026 gatherings, driven primarily by Governor Stephen Miran’s consistent preference for deeper rate cuts alongside opposing views from regional presidents on easing pace. These divisions reflect differing assessments of inflation persistence, labor-market slack, and the appropriate path for the federal funds rate amid a projected single cut for 2026. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.9%) on four or more dissents, underscoring trader expectations that policy fractures will persist absent clearer convergence in incoming CPI, employment, and growth data ahead of the FOMC’s next policy reviews.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$474終了日
2027/01/27マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have featured unusually elevated dissent, including four votes against the April 2026 hold decision—the highest since 1992—and two or three dissents at prior 2025–2026 gatherings, driven primarily by Governor Stephen Miran’s consistent preference for deeper rate cuts alongside opposing views from regional presidents on easing pace. These divisions reflect differing assessments of inflation persistence, labor-market slack, and the appropriate path for the federal funds rate amid a projected single cut for 2026. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.9%) on four or more dissents, underscoring trader expectations that policy fractures will persist absent clearer convergence in incoming CPI, employment, and growth data ahead of the FOMC’s next policy reviews.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$474終了日
2027/01/27マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings have featured unusually elevated dissent, including four votes against the April 2026 hold decision—the highest since 1992—and two or three dissents at prior 2025–2026 gatherings, driven primarily by Governor Stephen Miran’s consistent preference for deeper rate cuts alongside opposing views from regional presidents on easing pace. These divisions reflect differing assessments of inflation persistence, labor-market slack, and the appropriate path for the federal funds rate amid a projected single cut for 2026. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.9%) on four or more dissents, underscoring trader expectations that policy fractures will persist absent clearer convergence in incoming CPI, employment, and growth data ahead of the FOMC’s next policy reviews.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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