**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) show a daytime high of 27–36°C for Taipei on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observed heatwave persistence. August climatology features average highs near 32–34°C, but an active hot spell—with recent orange heat alerts for Taipei and New Taipei City warning of potential 38°C peaks or multiple days above 36°C—has elevated near-term expectations. Recorded highs in the region have recently reached 36–36.9°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Afternoon convection and showers introduce cooling potential that caps upside risk above 37°C, while the lower tail (34°C or below) remains limited by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated CWA briefings and any model shifts on steering flow or instability will likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の台北の最高気温は？
8月13日の台北の最高気温は？
36℃ 49%
37℃ 24%
35℃ 19%
38℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
29℃以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
1%
33℃
1%
34℃
4%
35℃
19%
36℃
49%
37℃
24%
38℃
5%
39℃以上
1%
36℃ 49%
37℃ 24%
35℃ 19%
38℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
29℃以下
$582 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$708 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$341 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$404 Vol.
1%
33℃
$1,581 Vol.
1%
34℃
$230 Vol.
4%
35℃
$791 Vol.
19%
36℃
$1,467 Vol.
49%
37℃
$859 Vol.
24%
38℃
$629 Vol.
5%
39℃以上
$1,384 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) show a daytime high of 27–36°C for Taipei on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observed heatwave persistence.
August climatology features average highs near 32–34°C, but an active hot spell—with recent orange heat alerts for Taipei and New Taipei City warning of potential 38°C peaks or multiple days above 36°C—has elevated near-term expectations. Recorded highs in the region have recently reached 36–36.9°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Afternoon convection and showers introduce cooling potential that caps upside risk above 37°C, while the lower tail (34°C or below) remains limited by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated CWA briefings and any model shifts on steering flow or instability will likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$8,975終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) show a daytime high of 27–36°C for Taipei on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observed heatwave persistence.
August climatology features average highs near 32–34°C, but an active hot spell—with recent orange heat alerts for Taipei and New Taipei City warning of potential 38°C peaks or multiple days above 36°C—has elevated near-term expectations. Recorded highs in the region have recently reached 36–36.9°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Afternoon convection and showers introduce cooling potential that caps upside risk above 37°C, while the lower tail (34°C or below) remains limited by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated CWA briefings and any model shifts on steering flow or instability will likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,975終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) show a daytime high of 27–36°C for Taipei on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observed heatwave persistence. August climatology features average highs near 32–34°C, but an active hot spell—with recent orange heat alerts for Taipei and New Taipei City warning of potential 38°C peaks or multiple days above 36°C—has elevated near-term expectations. Recorded highs in the region have recently reached 36–36.9°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Afternoon convection and showers introduce cooling potential that caps upside risk above 37°C, while the lower tail (34°C or below) remains limited by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated CWA briefings and any model shifts on steering flow or instability will likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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