Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating in San Francisco on August 17, anchoring the official high near 70–71°F according to National Weather Service observations and model consensus. This aligns with typical August climatology of 67–70°F highs, where cool sea breezes and morning stratus limit warming even under a weak ridge. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for the 70–71°F bracket reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of deviations. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could allow brief spikes toward 74°F or higher, though recent guidance showed minimal risk of such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
70〜71°F 99.9%
72〜73°F <1%
61°F以下 <1%
62〜63°F <1%
$27,582 Vol.
$27,582 Vol.
61°F以下
<1%
62〜63°F
<1%
64~65°F
<1%
66〜67°F
<1%
68~69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
100%
72〜73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76~77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80°F以上
<1%
70〜71°F 99.9%
72〜73°F <1%
61°F以下 <1%
62〜63°F <1%
$27,582 Vol.
$27,582 Vol.
61°F以下
<1%
62〜63°F
<1%
64~65°F
<1%
66〜67°F
<1%
68~69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
100%
72〜73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76~77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80°F以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating in San Francisco on August 17, anchoring the official high near 70–71°F according to National Weather Service observations and model consensus. This aligns with typical August climatology of 67–70°F highs, where cool sea breezes and morning stratus limit warming even under a weak ridge. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for the 70–71°F bracket reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of deviations. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could allow brief spikes toward 74°F or higher, though recent guidance showed minimal risk of such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問