Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and DWD point to a high near 21°C on August 21 in Munich amid increasing cloud cover and passing showers that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS create the close market clustering around 21–22°C by showing modest uncertainty in exact peak timing, frontal timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology favors highs near 22°C, yet the current pattern of Atlantic influence and reduced insolation tilts probabilities slightly cooler while leaving room for brief clearing to push readings to 23°C. Traders weigh these short-range model updates against typical observation uncertainties at official stations, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum from DWD data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
21°C 33%
22°C 23%
20°C 16%
23°C 10%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
16%
21°C
33%
22°C
23%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
5%
21°C 33%
22°C 23%
20°C 16%
23°C 10%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
16%
21°C
33%
22°C
23%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and DWD point to a high near 21°C on August 21 in Munich amid increasing cloud cover and passing showers that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS create the close market clustering around 21–22°C by showing modest uncertainty in exact peak timing, frontal timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology favors highs near 22°C, yet the current pattern of Atlantic influence and reduced insolation tilts probabilities slightly cooler while leaving room for brief clearing to push readings to 23°C. Traders weigh these short-range model updates against typical observation uncertainties at official stations, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum from DWD data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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