Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C for August 19 under humid subtropical conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak solar heating when cloud cover or precipitation aligns with midday hours, while breaks of sun and seasonally above-normal warmth support the upper end of the range. High humidity limits nocturnal cooling but has less direct impact on the daily maximum, which hinges on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity. Traders weigh the probability of thunderstorm development against climatological August averages around 31 °C, with resolution depending on the official observatory recording at its reference station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日の香港の最高気温は?
31°C 35%
32°C 34%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
$10,611 Vol.
$10,611 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
35%
32°C
34%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 34%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
$10,611 Vol.
$10,611 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
35%
32°C
34%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C for August 19 under humid subtropical conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak solar heating when cloud cover or precipitation aligns with midday hours, while breaks of sun and seasonally above-normal warmth support the upper end of the range. High humidity limits nocturnal cooling but has less direct impact on the daily maximum, which hinges on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity. Traders weigh the probability of thunderstorm development against climatological August averages around 31 °C, with resolution depending on the official observatory recording at its reference station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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