Recent forecast guidance from South African Weather Service models points to a maximum near 18°C in Cape Town on August 18, aligning with the seasonal mid-winter average of 16–18°C under light northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest Atlantic moisture that curbs daytime heating. These stable synoptic conditions explain the market's tight clustering around 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability as the baseline outcome. Minor model variations or unexpected clearing could nudge readings toward 19°C, while any increase in cloud or onshore influence supports 17°C. Historical August data shows limited extremes, reinforcing trader focus on these narrow thresholds ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のケープタウンの最高気温は?
18°C 50%
19℃ 30%
17℃ 16%
16℃ 5%
$13,909 Vol.
$13,909 Vol.
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16℃
5%
17℃
16%
18°C
50%
19℃
30%
20°C
2%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃以上
<1%
18°C 50%
19℃ 30%
17℃ 16%
16℃ 5%
$13,909 Vol.
$13,909 Vol.
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16℃
5%
17℃
16%
18°C
50%
19℃
30%
20°C
2%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from South African Weather Service models points to a maximum near 18°C in Cape Town on August 18, aligning with the seasonal mid-winter average of 16–18°C under light northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest Atlantic moisture that curbs daytime heating. These stable synoptic conditions explain the market's tight clustering around 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability as the baseline outcome. Minor model variations or unexpected clearing could nudge readings toward 19°C, while any increase in cloud or onshore influence supports 17°C. Historical August data shows limited extremes, reinforcing trader focus on these narrow thresholds ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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