Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and short-range ensemble forecasts for Busan on August 13 cluster daily maxima near 31–33 °C, reflecting the market’s concentration of implied probability on those bins. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity moderate peak heating under strong August insolation, while mostly clear skies and light winds allow fuller daytime warming; residual cloud cover or minor steering variations can trim 1–2 °C from the high. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet current heatwave conditions across the region support the modest weighting on 34 °C. Traders appear to price in normal forecast uncertainty two days ahead, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the national meteorological service.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の釜山の最高気温は?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33℃ 19%
34℃ 7%
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
2%
28℃
1%
29°C
2%
30℃
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33℃
19%
34℃
7%
35°C
3%
36℃以上
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33℃ 19%
34℃ 7%
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
2%
28℃
1%
29°C
2%
30℃
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33℃
19%
34℃
7%
35°C
3%
36℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and short-range ensemble forecasts for Busan on August 13 cluster daily maxima near 31–33 °C, reflecting the market’s concentration of implied probability on those bins. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity moderate peak heating under strong August insolation, while mostly clear skies and light winds allow fuller daytime warming; residual cloud cover or minor steering variations can trim 1–2 °C from the high. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet current heatwave conditions across the region support the modest weighting on 34 °C. Traders appear to price in normal forecast uncertainty two days ahead, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the national meteorological service.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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