Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models converge on a daily maximum near 13–14°C in Buenos Aires today, driven by persistent overcast skies, easterly flow off the cooler Río de la Plata, and light drizzle suppressing daytime heating. These conditions create narrow uncertainty around the peak value, with model runs differing slightly on the timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts that could nudge readings one degree higher or lower. Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the 13°C and 14°C outcomes because official station measurements will resolve the market, and climatological averages for mid-August sit only modestly higher at roughly 15°C. Updated observations through the afternoon will determine whether the high exceeds the current consensus range.