Traders assign a 99.1% probability that Donald Trump remains President through September 30, reflecting the absence of any active constitutional mechanism or political process capable of removal in the remaining three weeks. Impeachment requires House initiation followed by Senate conviction, timelines that historically span months rather than days, while invocation of the 25th Amendment or resignation would need documented incapacity or public statements absent from current reporting. No legislative votes, court rulings, or administration announcements have signaled impending change. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden health crisis or unforeseen scandal could still theoretically alter the outcome, though none are indicated at present.