**Augusto Cury leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote.** Recent national polls from Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and AtlasIntel place the Avante candidate in that spot with 8–11% support after sharp gains tied to television interviews and debates in late August. These appearances highlighted his self-described centrist positioning and drew support from independents and younger voters disillusioned with polarization between frontrunners Lula (PT, ~37–43%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL, ~29–34%). Renan Santos (Missão) and Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) trail in single digits and register lower implied probabilities. The race remains fluid with roughly a month until voting, and further shifts in undecided voters or turnout among key blocs could alter final placements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アウグスト・クリー 51.9%
レナン・サントス 25%
ロナウド・カイアード 9%
パブロ・マルシャル 2.3%
$1,008,769 Vol.
$1,008,769 Vol.
2026/10/03
アウグスト・クリー
52%
レナン・サントス
25%
ロナウド・カイアード
9%
パブロ・マルシャル
2%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
2%
ロメウ・ゼマ
1%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・レベロ
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
アウグスト・クリー 51.9%
レナン・サントス 25%
ロナウド・カイアード 9%
パブロ・マルシャル 2.3%
$1,008,769 Vol.
$1,008,769 Vol.
2026/10/03
アウグスト・クリー
$124,162 Vol.
52%
レナン・サントス
$278,464 Vol.
25%
ロナウド・カイアード
$114,464 Vol.
9%
パブロ・マルシャル
$46,854 Vol.
2%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$67,809 Vol.
2%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$49,488 Vol.
1%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$48,886 Vol.
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
$15,731 Vol.
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$16,773 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$46,212 Vol.
<1%
アルド・レベロ
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
$4,083 Vol.
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$20,815 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$104,208 Vol.
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
$13,084 Vol.
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$11,811 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$9,374 Vol.
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$23,204 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$3,481 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Augusto Cury leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote.** Recent national polls from Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and AtlasIntel place the Avante candidate in that spot with 8–11% support after sharp gains tied to television interviews and debates in late August. These appearances highlighted his self-described centrist positioning and drew support from independents and younger voters disillusioned with polarization between frontrunners Lula (PT, ~37–43%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL, ~29–34%). Renan Santos (Missão) and Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) trail in single digits and register lower implied probabilities. The race remains fluid with roughly a month until voting, and further shifts in undecided voters or turnout among key blocs could alter final placements.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
音量
$1,008,769終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Augusto Cury leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote.** Recent national polls from Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and AtlasIntel place the Avante candidate in that spot with 8–11% support after sharp gains tied to television interviews and debates in late August. These appearances highlighted his self-described centrist positioning and drew support from independents and younger voters disillusioned with polarization between frontrunners Lula (PT, ~37–43%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL, ~29–34%). Renan Santos (Missão) and Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) trail in single digits and register lower implied probabilities. The race remains fluid with roughly a month until voting, and further shifts in undecided voters or turnout among key blocs could alter final placements.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$1,008,769終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Augusto Cury leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote.** Recent national polls from Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and AtlasIntel place the Avante candidate in that spot with 8–11% support after sharp gains tied to television interviews and debates in late August. These appearances highlighted his self-described centrist positioning and drew support from independents and younger voters disillusioned with polarization between frontrunners Lula (PT, ~37–43%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL, ~29–34%). Renan Santos (Missão) and Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) trail in single digits and register lower implied probabilities. The race remains fluid with roughly a month until voting, and further shifts in undecided voters or turnout among key blocs could alter final placements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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