Augusto Cury has surged into third place in recent Brazilian presidential polls, driving the Polymarket consensus that he will finish there in the October 4 first round. The Avante candidate rose from low single digits to 8–11% in late August and early September surveys by Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and others, passing Renan Santos (Mission) at around 3% and Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) at 1–4%. Cury’s gains stem from high-visibility TV interviews, rapid social-media growth exceeding two million new Instagram followers in days, and appeal to independent voters seeking an alternative to the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Established names such as Caiado and Romeu Zema (Novo) have not matched this momentum, leaving limited vote share for other contenders in a contest dominated by the top two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アウグスト・クリー 52.0%
レナン・サントス 26%
ロナウド・カイアード 9%
パブロ・マルシャル 2.4%
$1,008,775 Vol.
$1,008,775 Vol.
2026/10/03
アウグスト・クリー
52%
レナン・サントス
26%
ロナウド・カイアード
9%
パブロ・マルシャル
2%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
2%
ロメウ・ゼマ
1%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・レベロ
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
アウグスト・クリー 52.0%
レナン・サントス 26%
ロナウド・カイアード 9%
パブロ・マルシャル 2.4%
$1,008,775 Vol.
$1,008,775 Vol.
2026/10/03
アウグスト・クリー
$124,166 Vol.
52%
レナン・サントス
$278,464 Vol.
26%
ロナウド・カイアード
$114,466 Vol.
9%
パブロ・マルシャル
$46,854 Vol.
2%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$67,809 Vol.
2%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$49,488 Vol.
1%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$48,886 Vol.
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
$15,731 Vol.
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$16,773 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$46,212 Vol.
<1%
アルド・レベロ
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
$4,083 Vol.
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$20,815 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$104,208 Vol.
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
$13,084 Vol.
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$11,811 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$9,374 Vol.
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$23,204 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$3,481 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Augusto Cury has surged into third place in recent Brazilian presidential polls, driving the Polymarket consensus that he will finish there in the October 4 first round. The Avante candidate rose from low single digits to 8–11% in late August and early September surveys by Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and others, passing Renan Santos (Mission) at around 3% and Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) at 1–4%. Cury’s gains stem from high-visibility TV interviews, rapid social-media growth exceeding two million new Instagram followers in days, and appeal to independent voters seeking an alternative to the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Established names such as Caiado and Romeu Zema (Novo) have not matched this momentum, leaving limited vote share for other contenders in a contest dominated by the top two.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
音量
$1,008,775終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Augusto Cury has surged into third place in recent Brazilian presidential polls, driving the Polymarket consensus that he will finish there in the October 4 first round. The Avante candidate rose from low single digits to 8–11% in late August and early September surveys by Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and others, passing Renan Santos (Mission) at around 3% and Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) at 1–4%. Cury’s gains stem from high-visibility TV interviews, rapid social-media growth exceeding two million new Instagram followers in days, and appeal to independent voters seeking an alternative to the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Established names such as Caiado and Romeu Zema (Novo) have not matched this momentum, leaving limited vote share for other contenders in a contest dominated by the top two.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$1,008,775終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Augusto Cury has surged into third place in recent Brazilian presidential polls, driving the Polymarket consensus that he will finish there in the October 4 first round. The Avante candidate rose from low single digits to 8–11% in late August and early September surveys by Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and others, passing Renan Santos (Mission) at around 3% and Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) at 1–4%. Cury’s gains stem from high-visibility TV interviews, rapid social-media growth exceeding two million new Instagram followers in days, and appeal to independent voters seeking an alternative to the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Established names such as Caiado and Romeu Zema (Novo) have not matched this momentum, leaving limited vote share for other contenders in a contest dominated by the top two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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