Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and AtlasIntel consistently places the Liberal Party senator behind only incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with support in the low-to-mid 30s while other right-leaning or centrist names remain in single digits. His position stems from unified backing within the main opposition party following his July nomination, limited fragmentation on the right compared with prior cycles, and the absence of any rival who has yet consolidated enough support to overtake him. Augusto Cury’s recent rise to 8–10 percent and gains by Renan Santos have narrowed gaps in some surveys but have not displaced Flávio from second. Late-campaign shifts, stronger television exposure for emerging candidates, or unexpected turnout changes among swing or youth blocs could still alter the ordering before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 91%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 6.3%
レナン・サントス 1.6%
アウグスト・クーリー 1.2%
$6,505,135 Vol.
$6,505,135 Vol.
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
91%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
6%
レナン・サントス
2%
アウグスト・クーリー
1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
<1%
ロナルド・カイアド
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 91%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 6.3%
レナン・サントス 1.6%
アウグスト・クーリー 1.2%
$6,505,135 Vol.
$6,505,135 Vol.
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
91%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
6%
レナン・サントス
2%
アウグスト・クーリー
1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
<1%
ロナルド・カイアド
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and AtlasIntel consistently places the Liberal Party senator behind only incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with support in the low-to-mid 30s while other right-leaning or centrist names remain in single digits. His position stems from unified backing within the main opposition party following his July nomination, limited fragmentation on the right compared with prior cycles, and the absence of any rival who has yet consolidated enough support to overtake him. Augusto Cury’s recent rise to 8–10 percent and gains by Renan Santos have narrowed gaps in some surveys but have not displaced Flávio from second. Late-campaign shifts, stronger television exposure for emerging candidates, or unexpected turnout changes among swing or youth blocs could still alter the ordering before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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