Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 90%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 7.8%
レナン・サントス 1.4%
アウグスト・クーリー <1%
$6,517,772 Vol.
$6,517,772 Vol.
2026/10/03
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
90%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
8%
レナン・サントス
1%
アウグスト・クーリー
1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
ロナルド・カイアド
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 90%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 7.8%
レナン・サントス 1.4%
アウグスト・クーリー <1%
$6,517,772 Vol.
$6,517,772 Vol.
2026/10/03
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$610,572 Vol.
90%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$473,469 Vol.
8%
レナン・サントス
$1,242,613 Vol.
1%
アウグスト・クーリー
$143,331 Vol.
1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$380,609 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$173,943 Vol.
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
$144,040 Vol.
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$219,348 Vol.
<1%
ロナルド・カイアド
$453,391 Vol.
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$229,171 Vol.
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
$207,849 Vol.
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$810,518 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$20,972 Vol.
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$274,555 Vol.
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
$205,331 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$750,154 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$142,390 Vol.
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
$35,519 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$6,517,772終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$6,517,772終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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