Blue Origin's New Glenn heavy-lift rocket suffered a major explosion during a static fire test on May 28, 2026, destroying the booster and severely damaging its sole operational launch pad at Cape Canaveral's Launch Complex 36. The incident, traced to a BE-4 engine oxygen valve, halted all orbital operations and triggered an extensive investigation plus pad reconstruction that remained underway in mid-September. With no launches scheduled before late 2026 and realistic timelines extending beyond aggressive company targets for a year-end return to flight, traders see little near-term risk of another failure by October 31. New Shepard suborbital flights have continued without incident, but they operate from a separate Texas site and do not factor into the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日11% 確率
新規
新規
2026/10/31
11% 確率
新規
新規
2026/10/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Blue Origin's New Glenn heavy-lift rocket suffered a major explosion during a static fire test on May 28, 2026, destroying the booster and severely damaging its sole operational launch pad at Cape Canaveral's Launch Complex 36. The incident, traced to a BE-4 engine oxygen valve, halted all orbital operations and triggered an extensive investigation plus pad reconstruction that remained underway in mid-September. With no launches scheduled before late 2026 and realistic timelines extending beyond aggressive company targets for a year-end return to flight, traders see little near-term risk of another failure by October 31. New Shepard suborbital flights have continued without incident, but they operate from a separate Texas site and do not factor into the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 1, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
音量
$398終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 9:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Blue Origin's New Glenn heavy-lift rocket suffered a major explosion during a static fire test on May 28, 2026, destroying the booster and severely damaging its sole operational launch pad at Cape Canaveral's Launch Complex 36. The incident, traced to a BE-4 engine oxygen valve, halted all orbital operations and triggered an extensive investigation plus pad reconstruction that remained underway in mid-September. With no launches scheduled before late 2026 and realistic timelines extending beyond aggressive company targets for a year-end return to flight, traders see little near-term risk of another failure by October 31. New Shepard suborbital flights have continued without incident, but they operate from a separate Texas site and do not factor into the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$398終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 9:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Blue Origin's New Glenn heavy-lift rocket suffered a major explosion during a static fire test on May 28, 2026, destroying the booster and severely damaging its sole operational launch pad at Cape Canaveral's Launch Complex 36. The incident, traced to a BE-4 engine oxygen valve, halted all orbital operations and triggered an extensive investigation plus pad reconstruction that remained underway in mid-September. With no launches scheduled before late 2026 and realistic timelines extending beyond aggressive company targets for a year-end return to flight, traders see little near-term risk of another failure by October 31. New Shepard suborbital flights have continued without incident, but they operate from a separate Texas site and do not factor into the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問