Persistent polling deficits for Sweden’s Tidö parties—M, SD, KD, and L—throughout the 2026 campaign drove the 97 percent “No” consensus on a Riksdag majority. Centre-left parties maintained a steady lead in surveys from multiple firms, projecting 175-plus seats for the opposition bloc while the governing arrangement fell short of 175. Preliminary results after the September 13 vote confirmed 173 seats for Tidö parties versus 176 for the opposition, with SVT’s model eliminating realistic comeback paths during supplementary counting. Remaining advance and overseas ballots could theoretically adjust totals by a seat or two before final certification, though current distributions make reversal improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
3% probabilità
$25,030 Vol.
$25,030 Vol.
13 set 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
$25,030 Vol.
$25,030 Vol.
13 set 2026
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Persistent polling deficits for Sweden’s Tidö parties—M, SD, KD, and L—throughout the 2026 campaign drove the 97 percent “No” consensus on a Riksdag majority. Centre-left parties maintained a steady lead in surveys from multiple firms, projecting 175-plus seats for the opposition bloc while the governing arrangement fell short of 175. Preliminary results after the September 13 vote confirmed 173 seats for Tidö parties versus 176 for the opposition, with SVT’s model eliminating realistic comeback paths during supplementary counting. Remaining advance and overseas ballots could theoretically adjust totals by a seat or two before final certification, though current distributions make reversal improbable.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercato aperto: Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$25,030Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Persistent polling deficits for Sweden’s Tidö parties—M, SD, KD, and L—throughout the 2026 campaign drove the 97 percent “No” consensus on a Riksdag majority. Centre-left parties maintained a steady lead in surveys from multiple firms, projecting 175-plus seats for the opposition bloc while the governing arrangement fell short of 175. Preliminary results after the September 13 vote confirmed 173 seats for Tidö parties versus 176 for the opposition, with SVT’s model eliminating realistic comeback paths during supplementary counting. Remaining advance and overseas ballots could theoretically adjust totals by a seat or two before final certification, though current distributions make reversal improbable.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$25,030Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Persistent polling deficits for Sweden’s Tidö parties—M, SD, KD, and L—throughout the 2026 campaign drove the 97 percent “No” consensus on a Riksdag majority. Centre-left parties maintained a steady lead in surveys from multiple firms, projecting 175-plus seats for the opposition bloc while the governing arrangement fell short of 175. Preliminary results after the September 13 vote confirmed 173 seats for Tidö parties versus 176 for the opposition, with SVT’s model eliminating realistic comeback paths during supplementary counting. Remaining advance and overseas ballots could theoretically adjust totals by a seat or two before final certification, though current distributions make reversal improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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