Israeli forces maintain control over roughly 70 percent of Gaza territory under a fragile October 2025 ceasefire, conducting periodic airstrikes and limited ground operations while rejecting U.S.-backed disarmament and withdrawal proposals in early August 2026. Ongoing strikes, including those in mid-August that produced civilian casualties, reflect continued pressure on Hamas amid accusations of violations from both sides. Prime Minister Netanyahu has directed expanded territorial control and stated that troops will remain in designated security zones indefinitely. These dynamics, alongside stalled hostage recovery efforts and diplomatic rejections, shape assessments of whether a broader ground offensive will materialize before any specified deadline, with scheduled diplomatic engagements and reported ceasefire monitoring serving as near-term variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$750,268 Vol.
31 ott 2025
31 dicembre
14%
$750,268 Vol.
31 dicembre
$100,637 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli forces maintain control over roughly 70 percent of Gaza territory under a fragile October 2025 ceasefire, conducting periodic airstrikes and limited ground operations while rejecting U.S.-backed disarmament and withdrawal proposals in early August 2026. Ongoing strikes, including those in mid-August that produced civilian casualties, reflect continued pressure on Hamas amid accusations of violations from both sides. Prime Minister Netanyahu has directed expanded territorial control and stated that troops will remain in designated security zones indefinitely. These dynamics, alongside stalled hostage recovery efforts and diplomatic rejections, shape assessments of whether a broader ground offensive will materialize before any specified deadline, with scheduled diplomatic engagements and reported ceasefire monitoring serving as near-term variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$750,268Data di fine
31 dic 2025Mercato aperto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli forces maintain control over roughly 70 percent of Gaza territory under a fragile October 2025 ceasefire, conducting periodic airstrikes and limited ground operations while rejecting U.S.-backed disarmament and withdrawal proposals in early August 2026. Ongoing strikes, including those in mid-August that produced civilian casualties, reflect continued pressure on Hamas amid accusations of violations from both sides. Prime Minister Netanyahu has directed expanded territorial control and stated that troops will remain in designated security zones indefinitely. These dynamics, alongside stalled hostage recovery efforts and diplomatic rejections, shape assessments of whether a broader ground offensive will materialize before any specified deadline, with scheduled diplomatic engagements and reported ceasefire monitoring serving as near-term variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$750,268Data di fine
31 dic 2025Mercato aperto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces maintain control over roughly 70 percent of Gaza territory under a fragile October 2025 ceasefire, conducting periodic airstrikes and limited ground operations while rejecting U.S.-backed disarmament and withdrawal proposals in early August 2026. Ongoing strikes, including those in mid-August that produced civilian casualties, reflect continued pressure on Hamas amid accusations of violations from both sides. Prime Minister Netanyahu has directed expanded territorial control and stated that troops will remain in designated security zones indefinitely. These dynamics, alongside stalled hostage recovery efforts and diplomatic rejections, shape assessments of whether a broader ground offensive will materialize before any specified deadline, with scheduled diplomatic engagements and reported ceasefire monitoring serving as near-term variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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