Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid ongoing regional conflicts, yet no country has expelled an Israeli ambassador since South Africa's January 2026 action against a deputy envoy, which drew a reciprocal response. Spain's March withdrawal of its own ambassador to Tel Aviv, along with Iran's March incentives for others to take similar steps, has not triggered additional expulsions or persona non grata declarations. Traders' 86% consensus on "No" by year-end reflects contained bilateral frictions, preference for ambassador recalls over outright expulsions, and the absence of new escalatory triggers in the four months remaining.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQualche paese espellerà un ambasciatore israeliano entro il 31 dicembre?
Qualche paese espellerà un ambasciatore israeliano entro il 31 dicembre?
Sì
14% probabilità
$45,406 Vol.
$45,406 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
14% probabilità
$45,406 Vol.
$45,406 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid ongoing regional conflicts, yet no country has expelled an Israeli ambassador since South Africa's January 2026 action against a deputy envoy, which drew a reciprocal response. Spain's March withdrawal of its own ambassador to Tel Aviv, along with Iran's March incentives for others to take similar steps, has not triggered additional expulsions or persona non grata declarations. Traders' 86% consensus on "No" by year-end reflects contained bilateral frictions, preference for ambassador recalls over outright expulsions, and the absence of new escalatory triggers in the four months remaining.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volume
$45,406Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid ongoing regional conflicts, yet no country has expelled an Israeli ambassador since South Africa's January 2026 action against a deputy envoy, which drew a reciprocal response. Spain's March withdrawal of its own ambassador to Tel Aviv, along with Iran's March incentives for others to take similar steps, has not triggered additional expulsions or persona non grata declarations. Traders' 86% consensus on "No" by year-end reflects contained bilateral frictions, preference for ambassador recalls over outright expulsions, and the absence of new escalatory triggers in the four months remaining.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,406Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid ongoing regional conflicts, yet no country has expelled an Israeli ambassador since South Africa's January 2026 action against a deputy envoy, which drew a reciprocal response. Spain's March withdrawal of its own ambassador to Tel Aviv, along with Iran's March incentives for others to take similar steps, has not triggered additional expulsions or persona non grata declarations. Traders' 86% consensus on "No" by year-end reflects contained bilateral frictions, preference for ambassador recalls over outright expulsions, and the absence of new escalatory triggers in the four months remaining.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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