Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, reflecting steady erosion driven primarily by voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, inflation, and the cost of living. Trade policy measures, including new tariffs, and the protracted conflict with Iran have further weighed on sentiment, with multiple surveys showing net approval on these issues deeply negative. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics and Silver Bulletin currently cluster near 38 percent, consistent with the narrow band of outcomes commanding the highest market probabilities. Limited movement in the final days before September 11 leaves the distribution tightly contested, with any last-minute shifts in consumer sentiment or foreign-policy developments capable of nudging the final figure within or outside the leading ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato38,5–38,9 35%
38,0–38,4 31%
37,5–37,9 31%
39,0–39,4 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
<37,5
7%
37,5–37,9
31%
38,0–38,4
44%
38,5–38,9
35%
39,0–39,4
11%
39,5+
4%
38,5–38,9 35%
38,0–38,4 31%
37,5–37,9 31%
39,0–39,4 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
<37,5
$196 Vol.
7%
37,5–37,9
$10 Vol.
31%
38,0–38,4
$120 Vol.
44%
38,5–38,9
$10 Vol.
35%
39,0–39,4
$142 Vol.
11%
39,5+
$41 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, reflecting steady erosion driven primarily by voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, inflation, and the cost of living. Trade policy measures, including new tariffs, and the protracted conflict with Iran have further weighed on sentiment, with multiple surveys showing net approval on these issues deeply negative. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics and Silver Bulletin currently cluster near 38 percent, consistent with the narrow band of outcomes commanding the highest market probabilities. Limited movement in the final days before September 11 leaves the distribution tightly contested, with any last-minute shifts in consumer sentiment or foreign-policy developments capable of nudging the final figure within or outside the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$519Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, reflecting steady erosion driven primarily by voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, inflation, and the cost of living. Trade policy measures, including new tariffs, and the protracted conflict with Iran have further weighed on sentiment, with multiple surveys showing net approval on these issues deeply negative. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics and Silver Bulletin currently cluster near 38 percent, consistent with the narrow band of outcomes commanding the highest market probabilities. Limited movement in the final days before September 11 leaves the distribution tightly contested, with any last-minute shifts in consumer sentiment or foreign-policy developments capable of nudging the final figure within or outside the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$519Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, reflecting steady erosion driven primarily by voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, inflation, and the cost of living. Trade policy measures, including new tariffs, and the protracted conflict with Iran have further weighed on sentiment, with multiple surveys showing net approval on these issues deeply negative. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics and Silver Bulletin currently cluster near 38 percent, consistent with the narrow band of outcomes commanding the highest market probabilities. Limited movement in the final days before September 11 leaves the distribution tightly contested, with any last-minute shifts in consumer sentiment or foreign-policy developments capable of nudging the final figure within or outside the leading ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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