Tom Kean Jr. has resumed full congressional duties and campaigning since late June after disclosing treatment for depression during a roughly four-month absence that began in March. The New Jersey Republican, representing a competitive swing district, won his June primary unopposed and has scheduled fundraisers while affirming his intent to seek a third term against Democratic challenger Rebecca Bennett. No subsequent announcements, health updates, or party actions have signaled any plan to resign or leave office before the term concludes. Trader consensus reflected in the 88.5% probability on “No” aligns with this continuity, as recent developments show Kean re-engaged in legislative work and electoral activities without indicators of early departure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
Sì
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Tom Kean Jr. has resumed full congressional duties and campaigning since late June after disclosing treatment for depression during a roughly four-month absence that began in March. The New Jersey Republican, representing a competitive swing district, won his June primary unopposed and has scheduled fundraisers while affirming his intent to seek a third term against Democratic challenger Rebecca Bennett. No subsequent announcements, health updates, or party actions have signaled any plan to resign or leave office before the term concludes. Trader consensus reflected in the 88.5% probability on “No” aligns with this continuity, as recent developments show Kean re-engaged in legislative work and electoral activities without indicators of early departure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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