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icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

14% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
14% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Senator John Fetterman has shown no intention of vacating his Pennsylvania Senate seat before the end of 2026.** His term runs through January 2029, and he remains active in legislative work, including securing priorities in the bipartisan Water Resources Development Act as recently as early August 2026. Public statements reinforce continuity: in a May 2026 Washington Post op-ed, Fetterman explicitly ruled out leaving the Democratic Party or switching to the GOP, describing himself as a poor fit for the latter despite ongoing intraparty tensions. Health-related concerns peaked in November 2025 with a brief hospitalization after a fall tied to a ventricular fibrillation flare-up, but he recovered quickly with only minor injuries and returned to duties. No subsequent medical issues have surfaced in 2026 reporting. Staff turnover, including a chief of staff departure in May 2026, and criticism from some Pennsylvania Democrats and progressives over his Israel stance and bipartisan votes have fueled speculation, yet these have not translated into resignation signals or procedural moves. Trader consensus at roughly 86% for “No” aligns with the absence of confirmed departure plans, upcoming electoral timelines, or acute health developments that would force an exit within the resolution window. Any shift would likely require a major unforeseen catalyst, such as a sudden health event or formal announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,296
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Senator John Fetterman has shown no intention of vacating his Pennsylvania Senate seat before the end of 2026.** His term runs through January 2029, and he remains active in legislative work, including securing priorities in the bipartisan Water Resources Development Act as recently as early August 2026. Public statements reinforce continuity: in a May 2026 Washington Post op-ed, Fetterman explicitly ruled out leaving the Democratic Party or switching to the GOP, describing himself as a poor fit for the latter despite ongoing intraparty tensions. Health-related concerns peaked in November 2025 with a brief hospitalization after a fall tied to a ventricular fibrillation flare-up, but he recovered quickly with only minor injuries and returned to duties. No subsequent medical issues have surfaced in 2026 reporting. Staff turnover, including a chief of staff departure in May 2026, and criticism from some Pennsylvania Democrats and progressives over his Israel stance and bipartisan votes have fueled speculation, yet these have not translated into resignation signals or procedural moves. Trader consensus at roughly 86% for “No” aligns with the absence of confirmed departure plans, upcoming electoral timelines, or acute health developments that would force an exit within the resolution window. Any shift would likely require a major unforeseen catalyst, such as a sudden health event or formal announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,296
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 14% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 14¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 14% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Nov 14, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" è 14% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 14% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.