United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 due to Russia's tightly controlled political system, where only parties aligned with the government and supportive of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine appear on the national ballot. The exclusion of independent or anti-war options, including the barring of Yabloko from the party-list vote, combined with administrative resources favoring the ruling party and voting extended to Russian-controlled areas of Ukraine, reinforces expectations of another supermajority. State polling shows United Russia well ahead, consistent with its long-standing dominance in single-member districts and party-list contests. Only major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt leadership changes or large-scale security incidents during the voting window, could realistically shift the outcome before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Russia
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Russia
Russia Unita (ER) 99.0%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
Nuovi Persone (NL) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,731,428 Vol.
$3,731,428 Vol.
29 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
99%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
1%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 99.0%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
Nuovi Persone (NL) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,731,428 Vol.
$3,731,428 Vol.
29 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$1,171,082 Vol.
99%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$212,468 Vol.
1%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$166,881 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$70,388 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$742,252 Vol.
<1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$258,215 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$604,433 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 due to Russia's tightly controlled political system, where only parties aligned with the government and supportive of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine appear on the national ballot. The exclusion of independent or anti-war options, including the barring of Yabloko from the party-list vote, combined with administrative resources favoring the ruling party and voting extended to Russian-controlled areas of Ukraine, reinforces expectations of another supermajority. State polling shows United Russia well ahead, consistent with its long-standing dominance in single-member districts and party-list contests. Only major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt leadership changes or large-scale security incidents during the voting window, could realistically shift the outcome before resolution.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,731,428Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 due to Russia's tightly controlled political system, where only parties aligned with the government and supportive of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine appear on the national ballot. The exclusion of independent or anti-war options, including the barring of Yabloko from the party-list vote, combined with administrative resources favoring the ruling party and voting extended to Russian-controlled areas of Ukraine, reinforces expectations of another supermajority. State polling shows United Russia well ahead, consistent with its long-standing dominance in single-member districts and party-list contests. Only major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt leadership changes or large-scale security incidents during the voting window, could realistically shift the outcome before resolution.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,731,428Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 due to Russia's tightly controlled political system, where only parties aligned with the government and supportive of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine appear on the national ballot. The exclusion of independent or anti-war options, including the barring of Yabloko from the party-list vote, combined with administrative resources favoring the ruling party and voting extended to Russian-controlled areas of Ukraine, reinforces expectations of another supermajority. State polling shows United Russia well ahead, consistent with its long-standing dominance in single-member districts and party-list contests. Only major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt leadership changes or large-scale security incidents during the voting window, could realistically shift the outcome before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
I Nuovi Persone (NL) otterranno il quarto maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?
46%
Sì
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
55%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
92%
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