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icon for Vincitore delle primarie repubblicane NH-01

Vincitore delle primarie repubblicane NH-01

icon for Vincitore delle primarie repubblicane NH-01

Vincitore delle primarie repubblicane NH-01

Anthony DiLorenzo 89%

Hollie Noveletsky 10%

Melissa Bailey <1%

Brian Cole <1%

Polymarket

$47,013 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo 89%

Hollie Noveletsky 10%

Melissa Bailey <1%

Brian Cole <1%

Polymarket

$47,013 Vol.

icon for Anthony DiLorenzo

Anthony DiLorenzo

$4,682 Vol.

89%

icon for Hollie Noveletsky

Hollie Noveletsky

$24,545 Vol.

10%

icon for Melissa Bailey

Melissa Bailey

$1,641 Vol.

1%

icon for Brian Cole

Brian Cole

$2,001 Vol.

1%

icon for Elizabeth Girard

Elizabeth Girard

$14,145 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo holds a dominant position in the New Hampshire 1st District Republican primary, scheduled for September 8, 2026, driven primarily by President Trump’s July endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million as of late June. This backing has enabled DiLorenzo, a Portsmouth auto dealer and first-time candidate, to consolidate support among party activists and voters in the open-seat contest. Hollie Noveletsky, a business owner, Army veteran, and 2024 candidate, remains the clearest alternative with her own donor base and emphasis on border security and tariffs, yet trails significantly in resources and recent momentum. The remaining contenders—state Rep. Brian Cole, Melissa Bailey, and Elizabeth Girard—register minimal visibility or support in filings and public activity. Trader pricing aligns with these structural advantages, including DiLorenzo’s reported endorsements from local Republicans and superior campaign infrastructure, while noting the short window until primary ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$47,013
Data di fine
8 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo holds a dominant position in the New Hampshire 1st District Republican primary, scheduled for September 8, 2026, driven primarily by President Trump’s July endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million as of late June. This backing has enabled DiLorenzo, a Portsmouth auto dealer and first-time candidate, to consolidate support among party activists and voters in the open-seat contest. Hollie Noveletsky, a business owner, Army veteran, and 2024 candidate, remains the clearest alternative with her own donor base and emphasis on border security and tariffs, yet trails significantly in resources and recent momentum. The remaining contenders—state Rep. Brian Cole, Melissa Bailey, and Elizabeth Girard—register minimal visibility or support in filings and public activity. Trader pricing aligns with these structural advantages, including DiLorenzo’s reported endorsements from local Republicans and superior campaign infrastructure, while noting the short window until primary ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$47,013
Data di fine
8 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle primarie repubblicane NH-01" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Anthony DiLorenzo" a 89%, seguito da "Hollie Noveletsky" a 10%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle primarie repubblicane NH-01" ha generato $47K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 23, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle primarie repubblicane NH-01", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle primarie repubblicane NH-01" è "Anthony DiLorenzo" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Hollie Noveletsky" a 10%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle primarie repubblicane NH-01" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.