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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politica·Francia

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politica·Francia

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$157,214 Vol.

29 apr 2027
Polymarket

$157,214 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$11,845 Vol.

88%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$2,597 Vol.

46%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$10,722 Vol.

42%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$24,970 Vol.

11%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$22,581 Vol.

7%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$8,741 Vol.

7%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,823 Vol.

7%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$936 Vol.

6%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$1,270 Vol.

6%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$4,114 Vol.

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,814 Vol.

5%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,443 Vol.

5%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,353 Vol.

5%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$695 Vol.

5%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,536 Vol.

5%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$799 Vol.

5%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,274 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,066 Vol.

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$1,518 Vol.

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$5,606 Vol.

3%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$3,001 Vol.

3%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,762 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,593 Vol.

3%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$5,679 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,011 Vol.

2%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,282 Vol.

2%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,865 Vol.

2%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,090 Vol.

2%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$758 Vol.

2%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$4,777 Vol.

2%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,973 Vol.

2%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,193 Vol.

2%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,769 Vol.

2%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,547 Vol.

2%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,558 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,541 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling from September 2026 shows Marine Le Pen of the National Rally maintaining a commanding 33-36% first-round lead, reflecting sustained voter support for the party amid economic pressures and Macron-era fatigue. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise registers 15-17% and reaches hypothetical runoffs in most tested scenarios, while Édouard Philippe leads centrist options at 14-19% but trails in many head-to-head matchups. Fragmentation among center and center-right figures, including Gabriel Attal, limits consolidation behind a single challenger. These patterns align with trader consensus on Le Pen's strong position to advance, with probabilities for Mélenchon or Philippe reflecting uncertainty over which opponent consolidates enough support before the April 2027 first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$157,214
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling from September 2026 shows Marine Le Pen of the National Rally maintaining a commanding 33-36% first-round lead, reflecting sustained voter support for the party amid economic pressures and Macron-era fatigue. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise registers 15-17% and reaches hypothetical runoffs in most tested scenarios, while Édouard Philippe leads centrist options at 14-19% but trails in many head-to-head matchups. Fragmentation among center and center-right figures, including Gabriel Attal, limits consolidation behind a single challenger. These patterns align with trader consensus on Le Pen's strong position to advance, with probabilities for Mélenchon or Philippe reflecting uncertainty over which opponent consolidates enough support before the April 2027 first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$157,214
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

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Marine Le Pen vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027?

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icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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icon for Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 36 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marine Le Pen" a 88%, seguito da "Édouard Philippe" a 46%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 88¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ha generato $157.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?", esplora i 36 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" è "Marine Le Pen" a 88%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Édouard Philippe" a 46%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.