Persistent monsoon conditions over northern India, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms, are suppressing nighttime radiative cooling in Lucknow and anchoring the minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 5. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models converge on a low of 26°C, with some runs dipping to 25°C depending on the timing and intensity of evening convection and wind patterns. Elevated dew points around 25–26°C further limit temperature drops, while historical early-September baselines for the city hover near 25°C. With market-implied odds split almost evenly between 25°C and 26°C, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and real-time observational trends from the India Meteorological Department ahead of the overnight minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 5 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 82%
23°C 5%
25°C 4%
24°C 3%
21°C o inferiore
82%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
57%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
21°C o inferiore 82%
23°C 5%
25°C 4%
24°C 3%
21°C o inferiore
82%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
57%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon conditions over northern India, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms, are suppressing nighttime radiative cooling in Lucknow and anchoring the minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 5. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models converge on a low of 26°C, with some runs dipping to 25°C depending on the timing and intensity of evening convection and wind patterns. Elevated dew points around 25–26°C further limit temperature drops, while historical early-September baselines for the city hover near 25°C. With market-implied odds split almost evenly between 25°C and 26°C, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and real-time observational trends from the India Meteorological Department ahead of the overnight minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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