Latest Met Office and GFS model consensus positions an 18°C minimum as the leading outcome because a mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling over London, keeping early-morning temperatures above the seasonal 11–12°C average. Observations through the night show readings holding near 17–18°C amid light winds and high humidity, while ensemble spreads allow modest probability for 17°C or 19°C if clearing develops earlier or later than expected. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage has altered the outlook in the past 24 hours, anchoring trader sentiment around these three bins ahead of final hourly verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 13 settembre?
18°C 77%
17°C 21%
16°C 5.2%
15°C <1%
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
20%
18°C
77%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 77%
17°C 21%
16°C 5.2%
15°C <1%
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
20%
18°C
77%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and GFS model consensus positions an 18°C minimum as the leading outcome because a mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling over London, keeping early-morning temperatures above the seasonal 11–12°C average. Observations through the night show readings holding near 17–18°C amid light winds and high humidity, while ensemble spreads allow modest probability for 17°C or 19°C if clearing develops earlier or later than expected. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage has altered the outlook in the past 24 hours, anchoring trader sentiment around these three bins ahead of final hourly verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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