Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS indicate mild overnight conditions for London on September 12, with lows expected near 12–14°C amid a mix of Atlantic frontal systems and building high pressure. This aligns with early autumn climatology, where average lows hover around 11–12°C, though the record-warm 2026 summer has sustained above-normal sea surface temperatures that may moderate cooling. Trader consensus favoring 13°C and 14°C reflects limited model spread and the absence of strong northerly flows or clear skies that could drive sharper nocturnal drops. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, particularly on cloud cover and wind patterns, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 12 settembre?
13°C 43%
14°C 30%
11°C 20%
12°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
20%
12°C
12%
13°C
43%
14°C
30%
15°C
8%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C o superiore
2%
13°C 43%
14°C 30%
11°C 20%
12°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
4%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C
$138 Vol.
12%
13°C
$312 Vol.
43%
14°C
$1,677 Vol.
30%
15°C
$187 Vol.
8%
16°C
$16 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS indicate mild overnight conditions for London on September 12, with lows expected near 12–14°C amid a mix of Atlantic frontal systems and building high pressure. This aligns with early autumn climatology, where average lows hover around 11–12°C, though the record-warm 2026 summer has sustained above-normal sea surface temperatures that may moderate cooling. Trader consensus favoring 13°C and 14°C reflects limited model spread and the absence of strong northerly flows or clear skies that could drive sharper nocturnal drops. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, particularly on cloud cover and wind patterns, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,330Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS indicate mild overnight conditions for London on September 12, with lows expected near 12–14°C amid a mix of Atlantic frontal systems and building high pressure. This aligns with early autumn climatology, where average lows hover around 11–12°C, though the record-warm 2026 summer has sustained above-normal sea surface temperatures that may moderate cooling. Trader consensus favoring 13°C and 14°C reflects limited model spread and the absence of strong northerly flows or clear skies that could drive sharper nocturnal drops. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, particularly on cloud cover and wind patterns, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,330Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS indicate mild overnight conditions for London on September 12, with lows expected near 12–14°C amid a mix of Atlantic frontal systems and building high pressure. This aligns with early autumn climatology, where average lows hover around 11–12°C, though the record-warm 2026 summer has sustained above-normal sea surface temperatures that may moderate cooling. Trader consensus favoring 13°C and 14°C reflects limited model spread and the absence of strong northerly flows or clear skies that could drive sharper nocturnal drops. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, particularly on cloud cover and wind patterns, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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