Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Madrid on September 10, 2026, have driven model consensus toward a daily maximum near 28°C, with light southerly winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon warming to that level. Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble forecasts show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average yet below recent heat peaks earlier in the month. Recent model runs have held steady without significant upward or downward revisions, reinforcing trader positioning around the 27–28°C outcomes that together exceed 95% implied probability. Resolution will hinge on the official station reading at Retiro or Barajas, with little scope for outliers given the settled pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 10 settembre?
28°C 57%
27°C 45%
26°C 11.0%
29°C 3.2%
$32,188 Vol.
$32,188 Vol.
10 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
11%
27°C
43%
28°C
57%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 57%
27°C 45%
26°C 11.0%
29°C 3.2%
$32,188 Vol.
$32,188 Vol.
10 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$2,842 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,405 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,644 Vol.
11%
27°C
$6,967 Vol.
43%
28°C
$6,144 Vol.
57%
29°C
$5,420 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,328 Vol.
1%
31°C
$745 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$790 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,375 Vol.
<1%
34°C o superiore
$527 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Madrid on September 10, 2026, have driven model consensus toward a daily maximum near 28°C, with light southerly winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon warming to that level. Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble forecasts show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average yet below recent heat peaks earlier in the month. Recent model runs have held steady without significant upward or downward revisions, reinforcing trader positioning around the 27–28°C outcomes that together exceed 95% implied probability. Resolution will hinge on the official station reading at Retiro or Barajas, with little scope for outliers given the settled pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$32,188Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Madrid on September 10, 2026, have driven model consensus toward a daily maximum near 28°C, with light southerly winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon warming to that level. Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble forecasts show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average yet below recent heat peaks earlier in the month. Recent model runs have held steady without significant upward or downward revisions, reinforcing trader positioning around the 27–28°C outcomes that together exceed 95% implied probability. Resolution will hinge on the official station reading at Retiro or Barajas, with little scope for outliers given the settled pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,188Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Madrid on September 10, 2026, have driven model consensus toward a daily maximum near 28°C, with light southerly winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon warming to that level. Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble forecasts show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average yet below recent heat peaks earlier in the month. Recent model runs have held steady without significant upward or downward revisions, reinforcing trader positioning around the 27–28°C outcomes that together exceed 95% implied probability. Resolution will hinge on the official station reading at Retiro or Barajas, with little scope for outliers given the settled pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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