Recent heat wave conditions, with San Francisco recording a record 94°F on September 9, have suppressed the typical marine layer and driven trader focus toward 82–85°F outcomes for the September 10 maximum. Persistent offshore flow and a strong thermal low over the interior have limited cool Pacific air intrusion through the Golden Gate, elevating temperatures above the 70.5°F climatological average. Close probabilities between the top bins reflect uncertainty in marine layer depth and afternoon wind shifts, which can introduce 3–5°F microclimate variations across official measurement sites. Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus will clarify resolution as the day progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 10 settembre?
82-83°F 30%
84-85°F 29%
86-87°F 14%
80-81°F 12%
$32,364 Vol.
$32,364 Vol.
10 set 2026
71°F o inferiore
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o superiore
1%
82-83°F 30%
84-85°F 29%
86-87°F 14%
80-81°F 12%
$32,364 Vol.
$32,364 Vol.
10 set 2026
71°F o inferiore
$895 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$884 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,874 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,094 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,435 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$3,451 Vol.
12%
82-83°F
$4,143 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$2,577 Vol.
30%
86-87°F
$3,750 Vol.
10%
88-89°F
$3,541 Vol.
<1%
90°F o superiore
$3,721 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave conditions, with San Francisco recording a record 94°F on September 9, have suppressed the typical marine layer and driven trader focus toward 82–85°F outcomes for the September 10 maximum. Persistent offshore flow and a strong thermal low over the interior have limited cool Pacific air intrusion through the Golden Gate, elevating temperatures above the 70.5°F climatological average. Close probabilities between the top bins reflect uncertainty in marine layer depth and afternoon wind shifts, which can introduce 3–5°F microclimate variations across official measurement sites. Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus will clarify resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$32,364Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave conditions, with San Francisco recording a record 94°F on September 9, have suppressed the typical marine layer and driven trader focus toward 82–85°F outcomes for the September 10 maximum. Persistent offshore flow and a strong thermal low over the interior have limited cool Pacific air intrusion through the Golden Gate, elevating temperatures above the 70.5°F climatological average. Close probabilities between the top bins reflect uncertainty in marine layer depth and afternoon wind shifts, which can introduce 3–5°F microclimate variations across official measurement sites. Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus will clarify resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,364Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent heat wave conditions, with San Francisco recording a record 94°F on September 9, have suppressed the typical marine layer and driven trader focus toward 82–85°F outcomes for the September 10 maximum. Persistent offshore flow and a strong thermal low over the interior have limited cool Pacific air intrusion through the Golden Gate, elevating temperatures above the 70.5°F climatological average. Close probabilities between the top bins reflect uncertainty in marine layer depth and afternoon wind shifts, which can introduce 3–5°F microclimate variations across official measurement sites. Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus will clarify resolution as the day progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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