Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a San Francisco overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s on September 10, driven by persistent warm advection and reduced marine-layer influence following several days of above-normal highs near 85–94°F. Westerly to southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 56°F while still well below recent daytime peaks. Microclimate variations between downtown and airport stations, plus any late-evening cloud cover, introduce modest uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum. Traders have concentrated probability in the 62–65°F range, reflecting confidence in this forecast envelope while assigning lower odds to cooler outcomes that would require stronger onshore flow or earlier clearing. Official resolution will depend on the final NWS climate report for the calendar day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a San Francisco il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a San Francisco il 10 settembre?
64-65°F 55%
62-63°F 31%
58-59°F 22%
60-61°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
55°F o inferiore
1%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F o superiore
<1%
64-65°F 55%
62-63°F 31%
58-59°F 22%
60-61°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
55°F o inferiore
$30 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$2 Vol.
21%
58-59°F
$2 Vol.
22%
60-61°F
$325 Vol.
14%
62-63°F
$292 Vol.
31%
64-65°F
$216 Vol.
34%
66-67°F
$10 Vol.
12%
68-69°F
$2 Vol.
21%
70-71°F
$20 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
1%
74°F o superiore
$7 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a San Francisco overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s on September 10, driven by persistent warm advection and reduced marine-layer influence following several days of above-normal highs near 85–94°F. Westerly to southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 56°F while still well below recent daytime peaks. Microclimate variations between downtown and airport stations, plus any late-evening cloud cover, introduce modest uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum. Traders have concentrated probability in the 62–65°F range, reflecting confidence in this forecast envelope while assigning lower odds to cooler outcomes that would require stronger onshore flow or earlier clearing. Official resolution will depend on the final NWS climate report for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$914Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a San Francisco overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s on September 10, driven by persistent warm advection and reduced marine-layer influence following several days of above-normal highs near 85–94°F. Westerly to southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 56°F while still well below recent daytime peaks. Microclimate variations between downtown and airport stations, plus any late-evening cloud cover, introduce modest uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum. Traders have concentrated probability in the 62–65°F range, reflecting confidence in this forecast envelope while assigning lower odds to cooler outcomes that would require stronger onshore flow or earlier clearing. Official resolution will depend on the final NWS climate report for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$914Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a San Francisco overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s on September 10, driven by persistent warm advection and reduced marine-layer influence following several days of above-normal highs near 85–94°F. Westerly to southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 56°F while still well below recent daytime peaks. Microclimate variations between downtown and airport stations, plus any late-evening cloud cover, introduce modest uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum. Traders have concentrated probability in the 62–65°F range, reflecting confidence in this forecast envelope while assigning lower odds to cooler outcomes that would require stronger onshore flow or earlier clearing. Official resolution will depend on the final NWS climate report for the calendar day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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