Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum in London on July 31 due to Met Office model runs and station observations showing overnight radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions stabilizing near that threshold. Daytime highs reached 26°C amid sunny intervals and light winds, setting up a modest nocturnal drop consistent with July climatology where average lows range 14–16°C but recent atmospheric stability has limited further cooling. Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble forecasts align on this level, with minimal model spread supporting the market-implied odds near 99%. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecast fog, increased cloud cover, or a late frontal passage altered the boundary layer, though current data through evening observations make such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 31 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 31 luglio?
17°C 99.0%
16°C <1%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
$10,306 Vol.
$10,306 Vol.
31 lug 2026
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 99.0%
16°C <1%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
$10,306 Vol.
$10,306 Vol.
31 lug 2026
14°C o inferiore
$512 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$412 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,205 Vol.
1%
17°C
$4,036 Vol.
99%
18°C
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$596 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$270 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$248 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum in London on July 31 due to Met Office model runs and station observations showing overnight radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions stabilizing near that threshold. Daytime highs reached 26°C amid sunny intervals and light winds, setting up a modest nocturnal drop consistent with July climatology where average lows range 14–16°C but recent atmospheric stability has limited further cooling. Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble forecasts align on this level, with minimal model spread supporting the market-implied odds near 99%. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecast fog, increased cloud cover, or a late frontal passage altered the boundary layer, though current data through evening observations make such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,306Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum in London on July 31 due to Met Office model runs and station observations showing overnight radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions stabilizing near that threshold. Daytime highs reached 26°C amid sunny intervals and light winds, setting up a modest nocturnal drop consistent with July climatology where average lows range 14–16°C but recent atmospheric stability has limited further cooling. Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble forecasts align on this level, with minimal model spread supporting the market-implied odds near 99%. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecast fog, increased cloud cover, or a late frontal passage altered the boundary layer, though current data through evening observations make such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,306Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum in London on July 31 due to Met Office model runs and station observations showing overnight radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions stabilizing near that threshold. Daytime highs reached 26°C amid sunny intervals and light winds, setting up a modest nocturnal drop consistent with July climatology where average lows range 14–16°C but recent atmospheric stability has limited further cooling. Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble forecasts align on this level, with minimal model spread supporting the market-implied odds near 99%. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecast fog, increased cloud cover, or a late frontal passage altered the boundary layer, though current data through evening observations make such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti