**Trader consensus centers on a 21°C minimum for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across official forecasts showing overnight lows of 21–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Late-summer conditions feature light northerly winds and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C, moderated by the urban heat island effect and proximity to the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara, which limit further nocturnal drops. Model consensus from sources including GFS and local meteorological services indicates minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, with historical August minima typically ranging 20–23°C. Slight probabilities for 19–20°C account for possible microclimate variations or minor model spreads, while warmer outcomes remain negligible given current trends. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 23 agosto?
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
18°C <1%
$1,647 Vol.
$1,647 Vol.
23 ago 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
61%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
18°C <1%
$1,647 Vol.
$1,647 Vol.
23 ago 2026
16°C or below
$200 Vol.
1%
17°C
$91 Vol.
14%
18°C
$50 Vol.
1%
19°C
$6 Vol.
19%
20°C
$5 Vol.
20%
21°C
$91 Vol.
61%
22°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 21°C minimum for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across official forecasts showing overnight lows of 21–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Late-summer conditions feature light northerly winds and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C, moderated by the urban heat island effect and proximity to the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara, which limit further nocturnal drops. Model consensus from sources including GFS and local meteorological services indicates minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, with historical August minima typically ranging 20–23°C. Slight probabilities for 19–20°C account for possible microclimate variations or minor model spreads, while warmer outcomes remain negligible given current trends. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,647Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 21°C minimum for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across official forecasts showing overnight lows of 21–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Late-summer conditions feature light northerly winds and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C, moderated by the urban heat island effect and proximity to the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara, which limit further nocturnal drops. Model consensus from sources including GFS and local meteorological services indicates minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, with historical August minima typically ranging 20–23°C. Slight probabilities for 19–20°C account for possible microclimate variations or minor model spreads, while warmer outcomes remain negligible given current trends. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,647Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 21°C minimum for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across official forecasts showing overnight lows of 21–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Late-summer conditions feature light northerly winds and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C, moderated by the urban heat island effect and proximity to the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara, which limit further nocturnal drops. Model consensus from sources including GFS and local meteorological services indicates minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, with historical August minima typically ranging 20–23°C. Slight probabilities for 19–20°C account for possible microclimate variations or minor model spreads, while warmer outcomes remain negligible given current trends. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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